Chinese President Xi Jinping is underestimating the "devastating" potential consequences of conflict in the Taiwan Strait, a former U.S. intelligence director warned.
What Happened: Former rear admiral Mike Studeman, who served as a commander of the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence, during a Hudson Institute forum said a conflict in the Taiwan Strait could lead to the downfall of Xi and his Communist Party.
"I think that if [Xi] tries to go after Taiwan, ultimately, what will ensue will lead to the downfall of the chairman and the party secretary. And I think he underestimates this," said Studeman.
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Studeman emphasized the importance of the U.S. maintaining the “status quo” on the Taiwan issue to prevent conflict. He also noted that simulations show no winner in a Taiwan Strait conflict, suggesting Washington should focus on prevention.
He further stated that from Beijing’s perspective, it appears as though the U.S. is moving away from its “one China” policy and Taiwan is moving towards de jure independence. However, China fails to see itself as the cause of such actions.
"China doesn't see that they're at fault. What they just see is all these actions that are designed to contain them…and they push harder," he said.
Why It Matters: Recently, China's aggressive actions, including frequent intrusions into Taiwan’s airspace, its military readiness showcased in an eight-episode series broadcasted on state TV, and Xi’s firm commitment to the “reunification” of Taiwan with mainland China, have caused global concern.
Earlier, a China expert, Gordon Chang, also pointed out that Xi has reportedly set a timeline for the annexation of Taiwan, potentially escalating regional tensions.
Meanwhile, the Former Japanese Prime Minister, Taro Aso, on Monday emphasized the need for countries like Japan, Taiwan, and the U.S. to show resolve against these aggressive actions. He warned that unclear signaling could lead to conflict, urging like-minded countries to unite and prepare for a possible “time of emergency.”
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