Why Enphase Energy (ENPH) Shares Are Falling

Zinger Key Points
  • Enphase Energy shares are trading lower by 4% Thursday afternoon.
  • Solar stocks are down Thursday, likely in sympathy with First Solar after Jefferies lowered its price target from $271 to $266.

Enphase Energy Inc ENPH shares are trading lower by 5.25% to $99.79 Thursday afternoon. Shares of several solar stocks are trading lower during Thursday’s session amid possible sympathy with First Solar after Jefferies cut its price target on the stock from $271 to $266.

What To Know: Enphase Energy shares fell Thursday in the wake of a price target reduction for First Solar, a key competitor in the solar energy space, alongside macroeconomic pressures that are clouding the outlook for renewable energy companies.

On Thursday, Jefferies analyst Dushyant Ailani lowered the price target for First Solar from $271 to $266, maintaining a buy rating but reflecting reduced confidence in the stock's short-term growth potential.

This follows a similar move earlier in the week by B of A Securities, which cut its target from $343 to $321. First Solar shares dropped nearly 8% after the revisions.

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What Else: Enphase Energy, a provider of solar microinverter systems and energy management technology, has a business model closely tied to the broader health of the solar market. Investor sentiment around Enphase often fluctuates in line with its industry peers, as developments at companies like First Solar signal potential challenges for the entire solar ecosystem.

While Enphase focuses on power conversion and energy storage technology rather than the manufacture of solar panels, negative trends impacting solar panel demand or pricing pressure tend to affect its growth outlook as well.

Any perceived weakness in solar demand could dampen the prospects for Enphase’s growth, especially in markets where it relies on high installation volumes.

What’s Next: Beyond the sector-specific pressures, macroeconomic concerns are also weighing heavily on Enphase and other renewable energy stocks. Thursday's hotter-than-expected September Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report, combined with an unexpected rise in weekly jobless claims, has fueled fears that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for longer than previously anticipated.

Higher rates make financing more expensive for companies in the clean energy sector, which often rely on borrowing to fund capital-intensive projects like solar panel installations or grid-scale energy storage deployments.

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This puts pressure on growth forecasts for companies like Enphase, which operates in a capital-intensive industry with a strong dependence on consumer and corporate spending for solar installations.

Additionally, political factors are increasingly adding to investor uncertainty in the clean energy sector. Recent polls show former President Donald Trump leading in several key swing states, raising concerns about the future of federal support for renewable energy initiatives.

Under the current administration, clean energy companies like Enphase have benefited from policies aimed at encouraging green energy adoption, such as the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). A potential shift in the political landscape could introduce new risks, such as the reduction or rollback of incentives, potentially dampening future growth prospects for Enphase.

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Is ENPH A Good Stock To Buy?

An investor can make a few decisions when deciding whether a stock is a good buy. In addition to valuation metrics and price action which you can find on Benzinga's quote pages – like Enphase Energy‘s page for example – there are factors like whether or not a company pays a dividend or buys a large portion of its stock each quarter.

These are known as capital allocation programs. Enphase Energy does not pay a dividend, but obviously has a few ways it can return value to shareholders. Feel free to search Benzinga's dividend calendar for the next company that is due to pay a dividend and determine what kind of yield you can earn for holding a share of the company.

For example, if you're looking to earn an annualized return of 18.4%, you'll need to buy a share of abrdn Inc Credit Strat by the Oct. 24, 2024. Once done, you can expect to receive a nominal payout of $0.1 on Oct. 31, 2024.

Buyback programs are obviously different and highly variable. A company can approve a buyback program and purchase shares as it sees fit over the course of time in which the buyback was authorized. Looking through the latest news on Enphase Energy will often yield whether or not the company has approved a buyback program recently. Buyback programs usually serve as a support for share prices, serving as a backstop for demand.

According to data from Benzinga Pro, ENPH has a 52-week high of $141.59 and a 52-week low of $73.49.

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