Market Analyst Who Predicted Trump's 2016 Win And Biden's 2020 Victory, Now Sees Former President Retaking The White House With 'Large Majority Of Swing States'

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Brian Geiger, a market analyst known for accurately predicting the outcomes of the 2016 and 2020 U.S. presidential elections, has shared his forecast for the 2024 election.

What Happened: On Monday, he posted on X that he expects former President Donald Trump to win 297 electoral votes, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris, who he predicts will secure 241 votes.

Geiger emphasized his confidence in the prediction, noting his previous success in not missing a single state in the last election. He stated, “I stand by my prediction that it won't be super close, and one of them will win the large majority of swing states or even sweep them… I believe that will be Trump.”

See Also: John Bolton Says Trump Will Not Accept Loss: ‘Everybody Ought To Be Ready’

Why It Matters: Geiger’s prediction holds significance as it comes at a time when the presidential race between Trump and Harris is intensifying. National polls show a close contest, with some giving Trump a slight edge.

The election’s outcome is also impacting financial markets. The dollar weakened on Monday as polls suggested a narrowing gap between Trump and Harris. The dollar index fell by 0.53%, marking its largest single-day drop since September. This decline was attributed to increased support for Harris in key states, affecting currency markets.

Geiger’s forecast adds to the anticipation surrounding the election, with his track record lending weight to his predictions. As the election approaches, the market and political analysts alike are closely watching the developments.

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