Surging Earnings Estimates Signal Upside for Green Brick Partners Stock

Investors might want to bet on Green Brick Partners GRBK, as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.

Analysts' growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this real estate investment company is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is principally built on this insight.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

For Green Brick Partners, strong agreement among the covering analysts in revising earnings estimates upward has resulted in meaningful improvement in consensus estimates for the next quarter and full year.

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $1.98 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +26.92%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Green Brick Partners has increased 5.6% over the last 30 days, as one estimate has gone higher compared to no negative revisions.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the company is expected to earn $7.91 per share, representing a year-over-year change of +28.83%.

The revisions trend for the current year also appears quite promising for Green Brick Partners, with one estimate moving higher over the past month compared to no negative revisions. The consensus estimate has also received a boost over this time frame, increasing 6.1%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

Thanks to promising estimate revisions, Green Brick Partners currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

While strong estimate revisions for Green Brick Partners have attracted decent investments and pushed the stock 26.2% higher over the past four weeks, further upside may still be left in the stock. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.

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