Ravens vs. Chiefs NFL Playoffs Championship Game Best Bets, Picks and Prediction – January 28

We have best bets for the AFC Championship Game of the NFL playoffs featuring the Baltimore Ravens (13-4) and Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) taking the field at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday, January 28, 2024.

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Best Ravens Prop Bet

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards (Pick: 65.5/Under)

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Best Chiefs Prop Bet

Rashee Rice Receptions (Pick: 6.5/Under)

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Best Over/Under Bet

O/U Pick: Under (44.5)

• Six of the Chiefs' 17 games in the regular season and playoffs have had more than 44.5 total points scored.
• The two teams averaged a combined 5.7 more points per game (50.2) in the regular season than this game's total of 44.5 points.
• Opponents of these teams averaged a combined 33.8 points per game in the regular season, 10.7 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• The average over/under the Ravens had set in games in the regular season was 1.6 fewer points than this outing's point total.
• The average point total for the Chiefs in the regular season was 1.4 points higher than this game's over/under.

Best Against the Spread Bet

Pick ATS: Baltimore (-3.5)

• Baltimore had 11 wins in 17 games against the spread during the regular season. As for the postseason, it has a record of 1-0-0 ATS.
• The Ravens are 6-5 as 3.5-point favorites or more (in the regular season and playoffs).
• Kansas City beat the spread 10 times in 17 games in the regular season. In the postseason, it has an ATS record of 2-0-0.

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Best Moneyline Bet

Moneyline: Ravens (-205), Chiefs (+172)

• Prediction: Baltimore 27 - Kansas City 15
• The Ravens put together an 11-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite in the regular season (winning 78.6% of those games), and they have a record of 1-0 when favored on the moneyline in the postseason.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter, Baltimore has a 7-3 record (winning 70% of its games), including the regular season and postseason.
• The Chiefs won the only game they played as underdogs during the regular season, and have gone 1-0 in the postseason.
• Kansas City has not entered a regular season or playoff game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +172 odds on them winning this game.
• The implied probability from the moneyline gives the Ravens a 67.2% chance to win this game.

How to Watch Ravens vs. Chiefs

• When: Sunday, January 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
• Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland
• TV Info: CBS
• Live Stream: Fubo

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