Surprises In A Popular Quality ETF

The quality factor is often misunderstood compared to other investment factors, such as growth, size and value. However, there's no confusing quality ascent this year, one highlighted by the iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF's QUAL 2019 gain of just over 23%.

Adding to some of the confusion around the quality factor is how its deployed in the world of exchange traded funds. For its part, QUAL, which tracks the MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index, focuses on return on equity, earnings variability and debt-to-equity in its stock identification process.

Other hallmarks of quality can include growing dividends, high credit ratings, low volatility and steady management teams.

Why It's Important

QUAL's sector neutrality is relevant because while quality can offer low volatility benefits, not all defensive sectors are chock full of quality stocks.

“We believe investors can find quality in every sector, and would caution that the popular wisdom doesn’t always apply,” BlackRock said in a recent note. “Sectors traditionally associated with quality, such as consumer staples and utilities, generally are not screening high on our quality metrics today. Their valuations have become elevated and business fundamentals are less compelling than in some of the faster-growing segments of the market.”

Consumer staples, utilities and real estate are traditionally viewed as defensive sectors, but those groups combine for just over 13% of QUAL's weight. Conversely, technology is rarely viewed as defensive or low volatility, but that sector is QUAL's largest at 23.55%.

“We view a company’s ability to grow its dividend as a better quality indicator than its prevailing dividend yield,” said BlackRock. “The payment of a sustainable and growing dividend is a sign of capital discipline and prudent capital allocation on the part of a company’s management team.”

What's Next

Given the positive traits associated with quality, it would be reasonable to expect that investors would have to pay up for the privilege, but QUAL's price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4 times isn't excessive compared to the broader market.

“Higher-quality stocks are trading at a lower price-to-earnings multiple than the lowest-quality stocks,” according to BlackRock. “This has been true for much of the past 10 years, since the economy emerged out of its last recession.

"History suggests quality stocks can trade at a premium during recessions. This tells us two things: Investors can buy quality stocks at a below-average price today, and these stocks’ valuations could grow down the road as markets begin to anticipate the next recession.”

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