Analyst: Shift To Smart Cars A Long-Term Tail Wind For Chipmakers

Automotive semiconductor suppliers will outgrow vehicle unit sales by at least a factor of two during the coming decade, an analyst said Thursday. "We are in the very early stages" of a switch to so-called smart cars, Oppenheimer's Richard Schafer said. Best positioned for the transition according to Schafer: Analog Devices Inc. ADI, Linear Technology Corp. LLTC, Monolithic Power Systems Inc.MPWR and Texas Industries Inc. TXN. More than 30 companies play in the automotive market, but a half-dozen chipmakers together hold about a 50 percent share. NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI is poised to take the lead through its pending acquisition of Freescale Semiconductor Ltd. FSL. The $11.8 billion deal will give NXP a 13 percent share of the automotive chip market, based on 2014 results. NXP will be a "key beneficiary" of growth in automotive semiconductors, and is "among our favorite ways to capitalize on this long-tailed trend," Schafer said. Automotive-related sales represented about 9 percent of the $340 billion semiconductor market last year. Japan-based Renesas Electronics Corp. RNECY has an 11 percent share, followed by Infineon Technologies AG's IFNNY 9 percent and STMicroelectronics NV STM at 7 percent. Others with significant players include Bosch Ltd. and Texas Instruments, with OmniVision Technologies Inc. OVTI and Mobileye NV MBLY important niche players in image sensor supply. Analog Devices, Inc. ADI has a 2 percent total market share, but its automotive business is growing at about 20 percent annually over the past five years and equals about 20 percent of its revenue, according to Schafer.