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The U.S. bond market is sending significant signals to Wall Street and Washington as Treasury yields approach levels not seen in nearly two decades, potentially complicating the incoming president-elect Donald Trump administration&#8217;s economic agenda.
What Happened: The yield on the 10-year Treasury has surged more than 1% since September, nearing the psychologically important 5% threshold. This sharp increase in government borrowing costs comes as markets reassess Federal Reserve rate cut expectations amid stronger economic data.
&#8220;It&#8217;s a combination of reset expectations of Fed rate cuts due to better economic prospects as well as an increase in real rates,&#8221; <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2025-01-14/trumponomics-the-bond-market-effect-on-donald-trump-podcast">says</a> Anna Wong, chief U.S. economist at Bloomberg Economics and former Federal Reserve economist who served in the previous Trump administration.
The bond market&#8217;s reaction partly reflects anticipated Trump policies, including proposed tariffs and immigration restrictions, according to Wong. These policies are &#8220;already acting as a restrictive force on the economy before being implemented,&#8221; she notes.
The rising yields could face heightened scrutiny in Congress, where slim Republican majorities control both chambers. Kate Davidson, Bloomberg&#8217;s managing editor for U.S. economic policy, suggests that concerned lawmakers might &#8220;throw a wrench into the process&#8221; of implementing Trump&#8217;s agenda, particularly regarding tax cuts and deficit spending.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42995151/bojs-kazuo-ueda-signals-rate-hikes-japanese-bond-yields-rise-to-14-year-high-what-the-recent-past-tells-us-about-impact-on-us-markets">BOJ&#8217;s Kazuo Ueda Signals Rate Hikes, Japanese Bond Yields Rise To 14-Year High—What The Recent Past Tells Us About Impact On US Markets</a>
Why It Matters: Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, projects the 10-year yield could &#8220;spend quite a bit of 2025 in the 4.75-5% range.&#8221; This outlook comes as debt servicing costs now exceed the defense budget, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/25/01/42890926/mohamed-el-erian-predicts-us-treasury-yields-will-stay-elevated-through-2025-as-inflation-concerns-and-market-dynamics-persist">raising fiscal sustainability questions</a>.
While Trump has celebrated the stock market&#8217;s $3 trillion gain since the election, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42886101/investors-should-expect-no-rate-cuts-in-q1-2025-after-federal-reserves-december-minutes-release-strategist-says">bond market dynamics</a> may pose challenges to his economic plans. Larry Tentarelli, chief technical strategist at Blue Chip Daily Trend Report, expects rates to remain elevated, forecasting &#8220;10-year U.S. Treasury yields in the 4.50 to 5.00% range&#8221; through early 2025.
These developments occur as Federal Reserve officials express increased uncertainty about <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42886101/investors-should-expect-no-rate-cuts-in-q1-2025-after-federal-reserves-december-minutes-release-strategist-says">the economic outlook</a>, using variations of the word &#8220;uncertain&#8221; twelve times in recent meeting minutes, according to LPL Financial&#8217;s chief economist Jeffrey Roach.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42995814/billionaire-investor-who-predicted-the-dot-com-crash-25-years-ago-warns-of-another-market-storm-brewing-in-the-us">Billionaire Investor Who Predicted The Dot-Com Crash 25 Years Ago Warns Of Another Market Storm Brewing In The US</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

News

Bonds

Economics

Markets

Trump Faces Bond Market Pressure As 10-Year Yields Near 5%, Challenging Economic Agenda

Shares of Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VMAR#NASDAQ">VMAR</a>) rose sharply in today's pre-market trading after the company announced it filed its latest patent application with the United States Patent and Trademark Office for a Battery <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/VMAR/news">Authentication Encryption Technology</a>.
Vision Marine Technologies shares jumped 67.8% to $2.35 in the pre-market trading session.
Here are some other stocks moving in pre-market trading.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Helius Medical Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HSDT#NASDAQ">HSDT</a>) gained 76.1% to $1.24 in pre-market trading.</li>
<li>Safe &amp; Green Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SGBX#NASDAQ">SGBX</a>) gained 51.8% to $0.8202 in pre-market trading. Safe &amp; Green Holdings, on Tuesday, announced a LOI for transformative acquisition of Olenox and Machfu.com.</li>
<li>Safe and Green Development Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SGD#NASDAQ">SGD</a>) rose 24.1% to $2.99 in pre-market trading following a 7% gain on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Quantum Computing Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QUBT#NASDAQ">QUBT</a>) gained 19.3% to $8.86 in pre-market trading after gaining 14% on Tuesday.</li>
<li>VerifyMe, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRME#NASDAQ">VRME</a>) rose 17.5% to $3.76 in pre-market trading. VerifyMe recently announced it entered a warrant inducement transaction for $4.7 million in proceeds.</li>
<li>D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QBTS#NYSE">QBTS</a>) gained 16.7% to $5.52 in pre-market trading after surging 23% on Tuesday.</li>
<li>908 Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MASS#NASDAQ">MASS</a>) gained 15.1% to $2.28 in pre-market trading after the company reported preliminary fourth-quarter revenues above estimates.</li>
<li>Myers Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MYE#NYSE">MYE</a>) rose 9.9% to $12.31 in pre-market trading.</li>
<li>Lifeward Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LFWD#NASDAQ">LFWD</a>) gained 9.6% to $1.60 in pre-market trading after declining 6% on Tuesday.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Crown Electrokinetics Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRKN#NASDAQ">CRKN</a>) shares fell 30% to $0.0620 in pre-market trading. Crown Electrokinetics filed for mixed shelf offering for up to $500 million.</li>
<li>Azitra, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AZTR#NYSE">AZTR</a>) fell 29.1% to $0.2990 in today's pre-market trading after announcing a proposed public offering of common stock.</li>
<li>Oruka Therapeutics, Inc.  (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORKA#NASDAQ">ORKA</a>) fell 27.8% to $10.00 in pre-market trading.</li>
<li>Algorhythm Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIME#NASDAQ">RIME</a>) dipped 23.5% to $0.0597 in pre-market trading following a 22% decline on Tuesday.</li>
<li>MBX Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MBX#NASDAQ">MBX</a>) shares dipped 23.2% to $9.25 in pre-market trading.</li>
<li>GlucoTrack, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GCTK#NASDAQ">GCTK</a>) declined 22.5% to $0.0945 in pre-market trading after dipping 18% on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Global Lights Acquisition Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLAC#NASDAQ">GLAC</a>) fell 20.3% to $8.51 in pre-market trading.</li>
<li>Meiwu Technology Company Limited (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WNW#NASDAQ">WNW</a>) shares fell 17.3% to $0.7860 in pre-market trading after dipping 68% on Tuesday.</li>
<li>Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APLD#NASDAQ">APLD</a>) shares tumbled 5.2% to $8.10 in pre-market trading following second-quarter results.</li>
<li>Calavo Growers, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVGW#NASDAQ">CVGW</a>) fell 4.7% to $23.02 in pre-market trading after the company reported fourth-quarter results.</li>
</ul>
Now Read This: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42992639/how-to-earn-500-a-month-from-state-street-stock-ahead-of-q4-earnings">How To Earn $500 A Month From State Street Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings</a></li>
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APLD

AZTR

CRKN

CVGW

GCTK

GLAC

HSDT

LFWD

MASS

ORKA

QBTS

QUBT

RIME

SGBX

VMAR

VRME

Why Vision Marine Technologies Shares Are Trading Higher By 68%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIVE#NASDAQ">HIVE</a>) co-founder Frank Holmes said that the new cryptocurrency accounting standards will remove barriers to corporate adoption of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>).
What Happened: During an interview with Scott Melker, host of the popular &#8220;The Wolf of All Streets&#8221; podcast, Holmes was asked about the rule change by the Financial Accounting Standards Board and whether it will drive more companies to consider Bitcoin as a reserve.
&#8220;Yes, absolutely,&#8221; responded Holmes, who leads North America&#8217;s first publicly traded Bitcoin mining company.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Could new accounting rules spark a corporate Bitcoin gold rush? <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24HIVE&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$HIVE</a> Executive Chairman <a href="https://twitter.com/bulldogholmes?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@bulldogholmes</a> &amp; <a href="https://twitter.com/scottmelker?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@scottmelker</a> dive into how these changes could revolutionize corporate and sovereign adoption of BTC. Don't miss this game-changing conversation! <a href="https://t.co/PmnVeuqG2E">https://t.co/PmnVeuqG2E</a> <a href="https://t.co/3NcaSP3mVI">pic.twitter.com/3NcaSP3mVI</a>
&mdash; HIVE Digital Technologies (@HIVEDigitalTech) <a href="https://twitter.com/HIVEDigitalTech/status/1879244593088045276?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 14, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The new rule enables firms to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42502213/new-crypto-accounting-standards-from-todaywill-it-boost-bitcoins-corporate-adoption">report cryptocurrencies at fair value</a>, or simply their current value, and include them in the company&#8217;s net income. Previously, cryptocurrencies were classified as indefinite-lived intangible assets, which required corporations to account for impairment charges.
Holmes said that the new mark-to-market standards are &#8220;really important,&#8221; paving the way for more companies to enter the Bitcoin market. 
He also shared that HIVE has been a pioneer in&nbsp;using Bitcoin as a&nbsp;balance sheet asset, deeming it a &#8220;proxy&#8221; for those hesitant to invest in the asset through cryptocurrency exchanges.
See Also:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42735744/pharma-bro-martin-shkreli-predicts-doom-for-michael-saylors-microstrategy-as-stock-dips-below-300-in-after-hours-trading"> </a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/01/42994641/italys-largest-bank-leaps-into-bitcoin-trading-with-1-million-test-investment-but-ceo-says-he-doesnt-invest-in-btc-personally">Italy&#8217;s Largest Bank Leaps Into Bitcoin Trading With $1 Million &#8216;Test&#8217; Investment But CEO Says He Doesn&#8217;t Invest In BTC Personally</a>
Why It Matters: The optimistic remarks aligned with those by Bitwise&nbsp;Chief Investment Officer&nbsp;Matt Hougan, who stated that the new rules <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42993521/michael-saylors-microstrategy-not-alone-in-bitcoin-acquisition-says-bitwise-chief-investment-officer-its-a-bona-fide-megatrend">would play a major role in incentivizing</a> Bitcoin corporate adoption.
HIVE mines digital currencies like Bitcoin using renewable energy. The company recently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42740364/whats-going-on-with-hive-digital-shares-on-tuesday">relocated</a> its headquarters from Vancouver, Canada, to San Antonio, Texas—the global hub of Bitcoin mining and a favored location for mining giants like&nbsp;Riot Platforms&nbsp;and&nbsp;MARA Holdings. This move is expected to enhance shareholder value, liquidity, and global investor interest.
The company currently holds a 1% market share of the global Bitcoin mining network, with a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/partner/cryptocurrency/24/12/42507134/hive-digital-technologies-nasdaq-hive-experiences-monumental-month-amid-tech-tailwinds-tri">goal of capturing 2%</a> by summer 2025.
HIVE held 2,805 BTCs, valued at $272.83 million as of this writing, <a href="https://bitcointreasuries.net/">according </a>to&nbsp;BitcoinTreasuries.com. MicroStrategy was the market leader with over $43 billion in Bitcoin on its books.
Price Action: At the time of writing, Bitcoin was exchanging hands at $97,052.07, up 1.77% in the last 24 hours, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard?_gl=1&#x2A;380nj0&#x2A;_ga&#x2A;MTEyOTAyOTcxMy4xNzEzMzY0NTYy&#x2A;_ga_V7ZK73W7N0&#x2A;MTcxNDk4MzIzMi42LjEuMTcxNDk4OTE0Ni4wLjAuMA.." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">data from Benzinga Pro</a>.
Shares of HIVE closed 0.34% higher at $2.92 during Tuesday&#8217;s regular session and were up 1.71% in pre-market trading.
Read Next:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42993521/michael-saylors-microstrategy-not-alone-in-bitcoin-acquisition-says-bitwise-chief-investment-officer-its-a-bona-fide-megatrend">Michael Saylor&#8217;s MicroStrategy Not Alone In Bitcoin Acquisition, Says Bitwise Chief Investment Officer: &#8216;It&#8217;s A Bona Fide Megatrend&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

Cryptocurrency

$BTC

HIVE

NVDA

New Crypto Accounting Rules Could Accelerate Corporate Bitcoin Adoption, Says CEO Of Leading BTC Miner — Mark-To-Market Standards 'Really Important'

Asset Sales

Fortuna Mining Entered Into A Binding Letter Agreement To Sell Its 100% Interest In Compañia Minera Cuzcatlan To Minas Del Balsas For $2M Payable On Closing Of The Transaction

Vertical Aerospace (Vertical) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVTL#NYSE">EVTL</a>), a global aerospace and technology company that is pioneering electric aviation, announces the appointment of Dómhnal Slattery as Chairman of its Board of Directors with immediate effect. Mr. Slattery brings over three decades of global aviation industry expertise to Vertical and rejoins the Board having previously served as Chairman from January 2022 to August 2023 during which time Vertical built its industry leading order-book and listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Stephen Welch, the outgoing Chairman, will continue to serve on the Vertical Board as a non-executive director.
 &nbsp;

Management

EVTL

Vertical Aerospace Taps Dómhnal Slattery, as Chairman, Taking Over From Stephen Welch Who Will Continue As A Director

Aurora Mobile Announced That Its Globally Recognized AI Agent Platform, Gptbots, Has Officially Entered Into A Strategic Partnership With Redtone Digital Berhad In Malaysia

Fortuna Mining Corp. (NYSE:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSM#NYSE">FSM</a>, TSX:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FVI#TSX">FVI</a>) is pleased to announce it has entered into a binding letter agreement (the "Letter Agreement") to sell (the "Transaction") its 100 percent interest in Compañia Minera Cuzcatlan S.A. de C.V. ("Cuzcatlan") to Minas del Balsas S.A. de C.V. ("MDB"), a private Mexican company. Cuzcatlan is the owner of a 100 percent interest in the San Jose Mine in the state of Oaxaca, Mexico. Following the sale, Fortuna will cease to have any interest in the San Jose Mine, other than the net smelter return royalty described below. The San Jose Mine was scheduled to initiate a progressive closure process starting in early 2025.
Details of the Transaction
Under the terms of the Letter Agreement, MDB will acquire all of the issued and outstanding shares of Cuzcatlan held by Fortuna's subsidiaries for the aggregate consideration of:
<ul>
<li>US$2 million payable on closing of the Transaction;</li>
<li>a further US$2 million payable on the first anniversary of closing the Transaction;</li>
<li>a final US$2 million payable on the second anniversary of closing the Transaction; and</li>
<li>the right to receive up to approximately US$11 million upon the completion of certain conditions.&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
In addition, Fortuna will receive a 1.0 percent net smelter royalty on production from the San Jose Mine concessions, for a 5-year term as of the start of production.
The completion of the Transaction is subject to customary conditions of closing and is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2025. INFOR Financial Inc. acted as financial advisor to Fortuna.

Fortuna Mining Exits San Jose Mine, Secures $17M Potentially Through Sale and Royalties

Macro Economic Events

Econ #s

Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) For November 0.2% Vs. 0.3% Est.; 0.2% (Revised) Prior

An internal memo from Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) has unveiled a strategy to implement <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/01/42994485/mark-zuckerbergs-jiu-jitsu-training-has-transformed-metas-leadership-strategy-says-gene-munster">performance-based job cuts</a>.
What Happened: The memo, authored by Hillary Champion, Meta&#8217;s director of people development growth programs, instructs managers to classify employees into performance tiers based on their contributions over the past year, <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/meta-tells-managers-how-performance-based-job-cuts-will-work-2025-1">reported</a> Business Insider.
Champion&#8217;s memo indicates that Meta aims to achieve a 10% &#8220;non-regrettable attrition&#8221; rate by the end of the current performance cycle. This target combines last year&#8217;s 5% with an <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/01/42986509/meta-platforms-announces-performance-based-job-cuts-whats-going-on">additional 5% this year</a>.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/25/01/42906243/netflixs-wwe-monday-night-raw-premiere-more-than-doubles-2024-usa-network-audience">Netflix's ‘WWE Monday Night Raw' Premiere More Than Doubles 2024 USA Network Audience</a>
The company is increasing pressure on underperformers to swiftly determine who will remain and who will be let go.
Meta plans to cut about 5% of its lowest-performing staffers as part of an effort to &#8220;raise the bar.&#8221; The company intends to backfill these roles in 2025.
The internal performance guidance document, obtained by the publication, categorizes employees into ratings such as &#8220;met most expectations,&#8221; &#8220;met some,&#8221; and &#8220;did not meet.&#8221;
Employees rated as &#8220;Met Some&#8221; or &#8220;Did Not Meet&#8221; will be automatically added to the performance termination list.
Subscribe to the <a href="https://bztechtrends.beehiiv.com/subscribe">Benzinga Tech Trends newsletter</a> to get all the latest tech developments delivered to your inbox.
&#8220;We have really ambitious goals, so we need to manage our workforce in a way that ensures we have the strongest talent working here and can move faster in managing out low performers so that we can bring new people in,&#8221; Champion stated.
Why It Matters: The decision to implement performance-based job cuts at Meta aligns with a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42865109/sony-co-founder-akio-morita-once-said-that-management-should-treat-companies-like-families-not-commodities-recession-comes-management-fire-people-but-stays-to-keep-its-profit">broader trend in the tech industry</a>.
In December 2024, Alphabet Inc.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) Google revealed plans to reduce top management <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/12/42635813/google-announces-major-layoffs-as-pichai-stresses-efficiency">roles by 10% as part</a> of its efforts to streamline operations.
Likewise, Elon Musk&#8217;s X reportedly experienced major layoffs in November 2024, with the engineering department being notably impacted.
Meta is scheduled to release its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/01/42991174/meta-platforms-analyst-expects-strong-momentum-in-q4-to-continue-in-2025">fourth-quarter earnings</a> on Jan. 29. Last year in October, the company reported $40.59 billion in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41637326/meta-platforms-q3-earnings-revenue-beat-eps-beat-daily-actives-up-5-strong-momentum-in-ai">third-quarter revenue</a>, exceeding analysts&#8217; projections of $40.29 billion.
Price Action: Meta&#8217;s shares fell by 2.31% on Tuesday but recovered slightly in pre-market trading on Wednesday, gaining 0.46% to close at $597, as per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Check out more of Benzinga&#8217;s Consumer Tech coverage by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/consumer-tech">following this link</a>.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42900737/stephen-king-slams-elon-musks-h-1b-visa-stance-musk-thinks-smart-immigrants-can-stay-the-rest-of-you-washing-dishes-get-lost">Stephen King Slams Elon Musk's H-1B Visa Stance: ‘Musk Thinks Smart Immigrants Can Stay – The Rest of You Washing Dishes … Get Lost'</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a> and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Tech

Media

GOOG

GOOGL

Meta Plans To Cut 5% Of Staff, Backfill Roles In 2025, Says Internal Memo

Nokia signs video technologies license agreement with Samsung
<ul>
<li>License covers the use of Nokia's video technologies in Samsung's televisions.</li>
<li>Nokia to receive royalty payments from Samsung.</li>
<li>The new agreement is separate from the parties' existing 5G license agreement.</li>
</ul>

SSNLF

Nokia Signs Multi-Year Video Technologies Licensing Deal With Samsung

Howard Marks, the co-founder, and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, who predicted the dot-com bubble 25 years ago has alerted investors about cautionary signs in the market in his latest <a href="https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/on-bubble-watch">paper</a> called, &#8220;On Bubble Watch&#8221;.
What Happened: According to Marks, these cautionary signs include the over-optimism in the market, ongoing AI hype, reliance on &#8216;Magnificent Seven&#8217; stocks, and index investing bias.
Even though Marks doesn&#8217;t &#8220;speak authoritatively about whether we're in a bubble,&#8221; in his paper, he does say that investors shouldn't be indifferent to these signs.
<ul>
<li>Over-optimism: Market exuberance since late 2022, coupled with high S&amp;P 500 valuations exceeding global peers.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>AI Hype: Enthusiasm for AI may be spilling over to other tech sectors.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Tech Giant Reliance: Over-reliance on the continued success of the top seven companies.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Index Investing Bias: Potential for inflated valuations driven by index fund purchases, disregarding intrinsic value.</li>
</ul>
Marks mentions in his paper that a stock market bubble manifests as a temporary mania fueled by irrational exuberance, blind adoration of companies, and an overwhelming fear of missing out.
The conviction that stocks are impervious to overvaluation, leads to the belief that &#8220;there&#8217;s no price too high.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/01/42967576/meta-investors-push-mark-zuckerberg-to-replace-72b-cash-with-bitcoin-to-combat-inflation-heres-what-it-means-for-investors">Meta Investors Push Mark Zuckerberg To Replace $72B Cash With Bitcoin To Combat Inflation: Here&#8217;s What It Means For Investors </a>
Why It Matters: About 25 years ago on Jan. 7, 2000, Marks published a memo called <a href="https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/2000-01-02-bubble.pdf?sfvrsn=37bc0f65_2">bubble.com</a>, and the subject was the irrational behavior he thought was taking place with respect to tech, internet, and e-commerce stocks. This was how he predicted the dot-com bubble. 
&#8220;But for me, a bubble or crash is more a state of mind than a quantitative calculation,&#8221; he added.
Marks warranted that investors should not avoid today's market valuations.
Drawing examples from the 2000 bubble, he highlighted the twenty companies that were the most heavily represented in the index. At the beginning of 2024, however, only six of them were still in the top twenty. Importantly, of today's &#8216;Magnificent Seven,&#8217; only Microsoft Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) was in the top twenty 25 years ago.
&#8220;In bubbles, investors treat the leading companies – and pay for their stocks – as though the firms are sure to remain leaders for decades,&#8221; he said.
He acknowledged counterarguments suggesting the market might not be in a bubble. These included the observation that while the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s P/E ratio is elevated but not at an absurd level. Furthermore, he acknowledged that the &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; are indeed exceptional companies, potentially justifying their high valuations.
Finally, he concluded that while the market appears expensive and perhaps slightly overheated, it doesn&#8217;t exhibit the irrational exuberance characteristic of a true bubble.
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Photo courtesy: Oaktree Capital Management

Equities

MSFT

Billionaire Investor Who Predicted The Dot-Com Crash 25 Years Ago Warns Of Another Market Storm Brewing In The US

GXO Logistics Partnered With The Perfume Shop To Provide Weekly High Street Deliveries To More Than 200 Stores Through Its Shared Transport Network

First Horizon Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHN#NYSE">FHN</a>) will release earnings for its fourth quarter, before the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/FHN/earnings">opening bell on Thursday, Jan. 16.</a>
Analysts expect the Columbus, Ohio-based company to report quarterly earnings at 39 cents per share. That's up from 32 cents per share in the year-ago period. According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>, First Horizon projects quarterly revenue of $821.89 million, compared to $804 million a year earlier.
On Oct. 29, First Horizon disclosed a $1 billion share repurchase program.
First Horizon shares gained 2.7% to close at $20.83 on Tuesday&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; .
Benzinga readers can access the latest analyst ratings on the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/09/28888638/exclusive-study-finds-benzinga-analyst-ratings-data-yields-market-beating-strategie">Analyst Stock Ratings</a> page. Readers can sort by stock ticker, company name, analyst firm, rating change or other variables.
Let's have a look at how Benzinga's most-accurate <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/fhn/analyst-ratings">analysts have rated the company</a> in the recent period.
<ul>
<li>Barclays analyst Jared Shaw maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $23 to $25 on Dec. 20, 2024. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 65%.</li>
<li>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods analyst Brady Gailey maintained a Market Perform rating and raised the price target from $23 to $24 on Dec. 19, 2024. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 79%.</li>
<li>RBC Capital analyst Jon Arfstrom maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $22 to $23 on Dec. 11, 2024. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 82%.</li>
<li>Goldman Sachs analyst Ryan Nash maintained a Neutral rating and increased the price target from $18.5 to $23 on Nov. 26, 2024. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 64%.</li>
<li>Raymond James analyst Michael Rose maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target from $19 to $22 on Nov. 8, 2024. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 68%.</li>
</ul>
Considering buying FHN stock? Here&#8217;s what analysts think: 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="584" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/15041627/image-90-1024x584.png" alt="" class="wp-image-734143" style="width:587px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/15041627/image-90-1024x584.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/15041627/image-90-300x171.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/15041627/image-90-768x438.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/15041627/image-90.png 1132w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
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Earnings

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Trading Ideas

First Horizon Gears Up For Q4 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

SpaceX&#8217;s next test flight of its Starship launch vehicle will depend on weather, the company warned on Tuesday.
What Happened: The company is currently preparing to launch Starship on Wednesday at 4:00 p.m. CT. However, whether the company will go ahead with the launch date or postpone it further will depend on the weather, company CEO Elon Musk said. 
&#8220;Starship Flight 7 launches tomorrow, provided weather is good,&#8221; Musk said on Tuesday. 
SpaceX also said in a post on social media platform X that the team at Starbase, Texas, is keeping a close eye on weather conditions. 
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Starship Flight 7 launches tomorrow, provided weather is good <a href="https://t.co/elDWqhTb0d">https://t.co/elDWqhTb0d</a>
&mdash; Elon Musk (@elonmusk) <a href="https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1879293016512639471?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 14, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Starship&#8217;s seventh flight test has been <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/25/01/42937833/elon-musks-spacex-delays-starship-7th-test-flight-to-wednesday">postponed multiple times</a> already. In December, Musk had pegged it for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42891052/spacexs-starship-7th-flight-test-now-slated-for-monday">Jan. 10</a>. 
Why It Matters: SpaceX has said that its Starship vehicle, currently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42718758/elon-musk-says-starship-will-get-fully-reusable-heat-shield-in-2025-i-am-confident">undergoing testing and development</a>, will launch from Starbase for its seventh test flight carrying 10 Starlink simulators which are similar in size and weight to the company&#8217;s next-generation Starlink satellites in a bid to demonstrate its capabilities in the satellite launch segment.
For the upcoming flight, SpaceX is looking to catch the two-stage vehicle's booster back at the launch pad at Starbase with the launch tower's metallic arms like on its fifth test flight in October. However, in case of any safety concerns, the company will splash it down in the Gulf of Mexico, it said.
The spacecraft, meanwhile, is slated to be splashed down in the Indian Ocean on the upcoming test.
While SpaceX has conducted 6 test flights of its ambitious launch vehicle to date, none of them carried any payload. The last test flight of Starship was in November. 
Starship is key to many big ambitions in the field of space exploration. While NASA is looking forward to landing humans back on the surface of the Moon after a gap of over 50 years with the help of a&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42108681/spacex-shows-off-conceptual-version-of-starship-which-will-help-humans-land-back-on-moon-in-over-50-yrs" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">custom version of the Starship</a>, Musk dreams of taking&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40770222/elon-musk-sets-2026-for-starships-first-uncrewed-mars-mission-targeting-successful-landing" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">humans to the planet Mars</a>&nbsp;aboard the&nbsp;vehicle.
Check out more of Benzinga&#8217;s Future Of Mobility coverage by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/mobility" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">following this link.</a>
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42967593/cybertruck-sales-rise-in-2024-weighed-down-on-tesla-model-s-deliveries-in-us-shows-data" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Cybertruck Success Comes At A Cost: Tesla Sells Nearly 39,000 Units In 2024, But Luxury Model S And X Sales Take A Hit In US, Data Shows</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: SpaceX

SPACE

Starship's 7th Test Flight Will Depend On Weather, Says SpaceX CEO Elon Musk Ahead Of Expected Launch Date

With U.S. stock futures trading slightly higher this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:
<ul>
<li>Wall Street expects JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) to report quarterly earnings at $4.04 per share on revenue of $41.56 billion before the opening bell, according to data from <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>. JPMorgan shares fell 0.1% to $247.22 in after-hours trading.</li>
<li>Analysts are expecting Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>) to post quarterly earnings at $1.24 per share on revenue of $19.51 billion. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Citigroup shares gained 0.2% to $73.63 in after-hours trading.</li>
<li>Applied Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APLD#NASDAQ">APLD</a>) reported upbeat fiscal second-quarter financial results on Tuesday. The company reported second-quarter revenue of $63.9 million, beating analyst estimates of $63.4 million. The company reported a second-quarter adjusted loss of six cents per share, beating analyst estimates for a loss of 15 cents per share, according to Benzinga Pro. Applied Digital shares fell 6.9% to $7.95 in the after-hours trading session.</li>
</ul>
Check out our <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premarket/">premarket coverage here</a>
<ul>
<li>Before the markets open, Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.35 per share on revenue of $20.58 billion. Wells Fargo shares gained 0.1% to $71.26 in after-hours trading.</li>
<li>Analysts expect The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) to post quarterly earnings at $8.35 per share on revenue of $12.46 billion before the opening bell. Goldman Sachs shares gained 1% to $577.00 in after-hours trading.</li>
</ul>
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42992639/how-to-earn-500-a-month-from-state-street-stock-ahead-of-q4-earnings">How To Earn $500 A Month From State Street Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Pre-Market Outlook

JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Wednesday

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index remained in the &#8220;Fear&#8221; zone on Tuesday.
U.S. stocks settled mixed on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones index surging more than 200 points during the session following the release of PPI data. U.S. producer prices rose 0.2% month-over-month in December compared to 0.4% in November, and versus market estimates of 0.3%.
Big Tech shares fell on Tuesday, weighing on the Nasdaq index. Shares of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) fell 1.1%, while Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) lost 2.3% during the session.
Investors are now awaiting the consumer price index report, due to be released today. Economists expect headline CPI to increase 0.3% in December.
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a positive note, with utilities, materials and financials stocks recording gains on Tuesday. However, communication services and health care stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.
The Dow Jones closed higher by around 221 points to 42,518.28 on Tuesday. The S&amp;P 500 rose 0.11% to 5,842.91, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.23% at 19,044.39 during Tuesday's session.
Investors are awaiting earnings results from Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) today.
At a current reading of 26.6, the index remained in the &#8220;Fear&#8221; zone on Tuesday, versus a prior reading of 26.7.
What is CNN Business Fear &amp; Greed Index?
The Fear &amp; Greed Index is a measure of the current market sentiment. It is based on the premise that higher fear exerts pressure on stock prices, while higher greed has the opposite effect. The index is calculated based on seven equal-weighted indicators. The index ranges from 0 to 100, where 0 represents maximum fear and 100 signals maximum greediness.
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</ul>

Dow Rises Over 200 Points Ahead Of Inflation, Earnings Data: Greed Index Remains In 'Fear' Zone

President-elect Donald Trump is set to make history once again with his upcoming inauguration. The event promises to be a grand spectacle, featuring an impressive guest list of billionaires, former presidents, and global leaders.
When Is Trump's Inauguration
The swearing-in ceremony for Trump and Vice President-elect JD Vance is scheduled for Monday at 12 pm EST. However, festivities will begin on Saturday at Trump's Virginia golf club.
How To Watch The Event
Major television networks will broadcast the inauguration live. The White House will also stream the events on its official website, ensuring accessibility for viewers worldwide.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/01/42893958/after-apple-halts-hardware-subscription-plans-samsung-unveils-similar-strategy-for-ai-powered-galaxy-smartphones" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">After Apple Halts ‘Hardware&#8217; Subscription Plans, Samsung Unveils Similar Strategy For AI-Powered Galaxy Smartphones</a>
Biden And Harris: Will They Attend?
President Joe Biden has confirmed his attendance, marking a bipartisan moment despite their contentious history. Vice President Kamala Harris is also expected to attend, continuing the tradition of outgoing vice presidents witnessing the transfer of power.
Former Presidents On The Guest List
Former Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush, and Bill Clinton will also attend the ceremony. Their spouses, including Laura Bush and Hillary Clinton, will also be present.
Notably, Michelle Obama will not attend, citing undisclosed reasons.
While Biden's presence signals a return to tradition, history shows many outgoing presidents have skipped their successors' inaugurations. These include John Adams, John Quincy Adams, and Andrew Johnson. Trump himself did not attend Biden's inauguration, citing election disputes.
Billionaires At The Inauguration: Musk, Bezos, And Zuckerberg
Some of the world's richest individuals are set to attend. Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, and Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg will be seated together on the platform, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/elon-musk-jeff-bezos-mark-zuckerberg-attend-trump-inauguration-rcna187642">reported</a> NBC.
Musk took to X and said that he was "honored" by the invitation.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Honored
&mdash; Elon Musk (@elonmusk) <a href="https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1879240313942012123?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 14, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Musk is a Trump ally and has been instrumental in shaping his administration's efficiency policies. Meanwhile, both Bezos and Zuckerberg, despite past conflicts with Trump, have pledged $1 million each <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42454227/months-after-trump-threatened-to-put-mark-zuckerberg-in-prison-meta-ceo-donates-1m-to-president-elects-inaugural-event">to the inaugural fund</a>.
The Tesla CEO currently has a net worth of $427 billion, making him the world's wealthiest individual, according to the Bloomberg Billionaire <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/">Index</a>. He is followed by Bezos and Zuckerberg as the second and third rank holders on the index with $237 billion, and $210 billion as their net worth respectively.
World Leaders And Foreign Representatives
Argentine President Javier Milei, who met Trump shortly after his election win, is expected to attend. Trump has also invited Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.
According to reports, Bukele's attendance remains uncertain, but Meloni has stated she will attend if her schedule allows.
Chinese President Xi Jinping will also reportedly send an envoy in his place. Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who faces legal challenges, could also attend.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">&#8211; Muito honrado em receber do Presidente dos EUA, <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a>, convite para a sua posse e de seu Vice Presidente <a href="https://twitter.com/JDVance?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JDVance</a> , no próximo dia 20/JAN. &#8211; Agradeço a meu filho, o Deputado Federal <a href="https://twitter.com/BolsonaroSP?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@BolsonaroSP</a>, pelo excelente trabalho nesta relação com a família do Presidente… <a href="https://t.co/OTc71wxa3P">pic.twitter.com/OTc71wxa3P</a>
&mdash; Jair M. Bolsonaro (@jairbolsonaro) <a href="https://twitter.com/jairbolsonaro/status/1876967301649502389?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">January 8, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
French politician Eric Zemmour and European Parliament member Sarah Knafo were also reportedly invited, though their attendance remains unconfirmed.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42900737/stephen-king-slams-elon-musks-h-1b-visa-stance-musk-thinks-smart-immigrants-can-stay-the-rest-of-you-washing-dishes-get-lost" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Stephen King Slams Elon Musk&#8217;s H-1B Visa Stance: ‘Musk Thinks Smart Immigrants Can Stay – The Rest of You Washing Dishes … Get Lost&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Government

Trump Inauguration: From Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos To Barack Obama, George Bush And Bill Clinton — Who All Will Attend?

<h3>Companies Reporting Before The Bell</h3>
• BlackRock (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $11.21 per share on revenue of $5.53 billion. 
• Valens Semiconductor (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLN#NYSE">VLN</a>) is likely to report earnings for its third quarter. 
• JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $4.04 per share on revenue of $41.56 billion. 
• Goldman Sachs Gr (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $8.27 per share on revenue of $12.33 billion. 
• Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.24 per share on revenue of $19.41 billion. 
• Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.54 per share on revenue of $4.63 billion. 
• Wells Fargo (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.26 per share on revenue of $20.28 billion. 
<h3>Companies Reporting After The Bell</h3>
• Home BancShares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOMB#NYSE">HOMB</a>) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.52 per share on revenue of $256.67 million. 
• Synovus Finl (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $1.15 per share on revenue of $566.76 million. 
• H.B. Fuller (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FUL#NYSE">FUL</a>) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.92 per share on revenue of $904.32 million. 
• Concentrix (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNXC#NASDAQ">CNXC</a>) is likely to report quarterly earnings at $3.07 per share on revenue of $2.44 billion. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

CNXC

HOMB

Earnings Scheduled For January 15, 2025

Investors are buzzing with speculation about the Federal Reserve possibly raising interest rates in 2025. This comes despite recent aggressive rate cuts. The conversation is heating up around a potential policy reversal.
What Happened: While the likelihood of a rate hike remains at zero according to CME Group's FedWatch, the topic is gaining traction among investors. The debate centers on whether the barriers to increasing rates are more substantial than those to reducing them, The Wall Street Journal <a href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/what-if-the-fed-u-turns-and-raises-rates-this-year-f180855b">reported</a> on Wednesday.
Historically, the Fed has signaled major policy shifts well in advance, with only one instance of switching from cuts to hikes within a year since 1994. This occurred in 1998, following the Long-Term Capital Management crisis.
Some analysts believe the Fed has learned from past inflation shocks and may act swiftly if necessary. Ed Al-Hussainy of Columbia Threadneedle Investments noted, "It's a paper barrier, and they will break through it quickly if the data becomes overwhelming."
Investors considering the possibility of rate hikes might look into short-dated Treasurys. However, the market&#8217;s volatility and potential for loss remain significant concerns.
Why It Matters: The speculation surrounding potential rate hikes comes on the heels of a strong jobs report from December, which has led Wall Street analysts to reconsider their interest rate forecasts. Goldman Sachs economist David Mericle <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/42944934/wall-street-slashes-interest-rate-cut-bets-after-jobs-data-are-hikes-back-on-the-table">adjusted his projections</a> for Fed policy in 2025, reducing expected rate cuts due to the robust employment figures.
Moreover, the Federal Reserve&#8217;s December meeting minutes revealed uncertainty about <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42886101/investors-should-expect-no-rate-cuts-in-q1-2025-after-federal-reserves-december-minutes-release-strategist-says">future rate cuts</a>, as noted by Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial. The Fed&#8217;s use of the word &#8220;uncertain&#8221; multiple times underscores the difficulty in mapping out a clear path for interest rates amid unpredictable economic conditions.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42965857/oil-could-hit-90-goldman-sachs-says-trump-may-not-ease-sanctions-on-russia" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Oil Could Hit $90, Goldman Sachs Says: ‘Trump May Not Ease Sanctions' On Russia</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy of the Federal Reserve
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a> and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

General

Federal Reserve Policy Reversal? Buzz Around 2025 Rate Hikes Gains Momentum: 'It's A Paper Barrier...Will Break Through It Quickly If The Data Becomes Overwhelming'

Nokia and Zain KSA to implement unique indoor solutions for enterprise customers
<ul>
<li>First 4G/5G Femtocell solution in the Middle East and Africa region.</li>
<li>Enhances end user experiences, enriches B2B offering and reduces time to market.</li>
<li>Provides robust and secure connectivity for enterprises across the Kingdom.</li>
</ul>

Nokia And Zain KSA Launch First 4G/5G Femtocell Solution In The MEA Region

iShares Core S&P 500 Index ETF declares CAD 0.1012 dividend

IXSHF

ISHARES CORE S&amp;P 500 INDEX ETF UNIT (Canada)

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