Data Center Drought: A Thirst For Space In A Desert Of Supply


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The booming artificial intelligence (AI) industry has propelled North American data center construction to an all-time high, according to a report from commercial real estate firm CBRE.

CBRE's North American Data Center Trends report found that 2,287.6 megawatts (MW) of data center supply is under construction in primary markets, with 70% of it already preleased. That's up from 1,830.3 MW under construction at the same time last year.

"Data center construction is at an all-time high, driven by strong demand from all users, including AI, hyperscale and enterprise," said Pat Lynch, executive managing director for CBRE's Data Centers Solution. "New and existing uses of artificial intelligence cases grew tremendously in the first half of the year, and we expect demand to remain strong with AI driving leasing opportunities in the second half of the year."

Lenders continue to fund projects under construction, particularly for preleased and stable assets where developers and operators are dedicated to adhering to completion schedules to meet the promised lease start dates. Both data center providers and customers are acquiring land in strategic markets, intensifying competition for properties that align with established power and fiber requirements because of the scarcity of suitable sites.

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But vacant and second-generation enterprise data center acquisitions are difficult to underwrite. Purpose-built facilities that didn't take into consideration second-generation market appeal are trading at a significant discount-to-replacement cost.

Top 10 Most Active Markets

MarketH1 2023 total inventoryH1 2023 under construction
Northern Virginia2,254.1 MW918 MW
Hillsboro, Oregon248.4 MW267.3 MW
Silicon Valley410.7 MW125 MW
Chicago367.5 MW205 MW
Dallas-Fort Worth499.4 MW273.3 MW
Phoenix360 MW163.5 MW
Toronto291.3 MW99.6 MW
New York Tri-State177.5 MW99.9 MW
Atlanta271 MW235.6 MW
Montreal135.5 MW106.5 MW

Source: CBRE

The overall vacancy rate for primary markets is near a record low at 3.3%. Northern Virginia's vacancy rate is 0.94%, the lowest of all U.S. markets.

"Most major markets are grappling with power constraints, and developers are facing challenges within their supply chain, but it's not slowing down the demand for data center space," said Gordon Dolven, director of Americas Data Center Research at CBRE. "Data center operators are prioritizing power availability rather than selecting markets based on traditional factors such as location, connectivity, water and land pricing."

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