Tesla's Q4 Earnings Looms: Can The Stock Keep Its Rally Alive?

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Zinger Key Points
  • Tesla’s stock is caught between short-term selling pressure and long-term bullish momentum ahead of Q4 earnings.
  • Analysts see a 16% upside, but Wall Street remains skeptical about Elon Musk’s 30% sales growth target.

Tesla Inc TSLA will be reporting its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday. Wall Street expects 74 cents in EPS and $27.13 billion in revenues as the company reports after market hours.

The stock is up 106.68% over the past year, down 1.41% YTD.

Tesla Stock Investors’ Concerns Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

As Tesla gears up to report its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday, investors are watching closely for clarity on its growth trajectory. CEO Elon Musk has promised a 30% sales increase in 2025, but Wall Street remains skeptical about that projection.

The recent refresh of the aging Model Y aims to reignite demand, but many believe a cheaper Tesla, dubbed “Model Q,” is crucial.

Concerns still loom over Musk's growing commitments beyond Tesla, including his involvement in politics and multiple ventures. With President Donald Trump's potential rollback of EV incentives and the uncertain timeline for Tesla's robotaxi and Optimus projects, investor sentiment remains a mix of excitement and caution.

Let’s look at what the charts indicate for Tesla stock and how the stock currently maps against Wall Street estimates.

Read Also: Tesla Earnings: Delivery Outlook, Model Y Ramp-Up, Optimus Bot In Focus, Say Analysts

Tesla Stock Chart Bullish With Selling Pressure Weighing In

Tesla stock is caught between short-term selling pressure and long-term bullish momentum.

Chart created using Benzinga Pro

The stock hovers at $394.11 — just above its 50-day SMA (simple moving average) of $393.47 but lags behind its eight-day and 20-day SMAs of $411.22 and $407.77, respectively.

The short-term trend leans moderately bearish as selling pressure weighs in, but the bigger picture still favors the bulls. With the 200-day SMA sitting far below at $258.66 and a MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) of 2.30 flashing bullish signals, Tesla's long-term trajectory remains intact.

An RSI (relative strength index) of 46.16 suggests there’s room to run before hitting overbought territory, meaning investors eyeing an entry may find this dip appealing while short-term traders should tread cautiously.

Tesla Analysts See 16% Upside

Ratings & Consensus Estimates: The consensus analyst rating on Tesla stock stands at Neutral currently with a price target of $308.40. Recent analyst ratings from Wedbush, Piper Sandler and Barclays imply a 16.09% upside for Tesla stock, with an average price target of $458.33.

TSLA Price Action: Tesla stock was trading flat at $398.42 at publication Tuesday.

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Photo: Courtesy Tesla

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