After a long winter that will be remembered for a
remarkable amount of snowfall here in the northeast, it appears that
spring has finally arrived in Vermont. The last of the snow finally
melted in most places before Easter.
Now is the time of year when many of us unpack our
spring and summer clothes, tune up our bikes, and prepare our boats for
the water. And it's the time of year when we again consider what new
items we need to buy in order to enjoy our many outdoor hobbies.
The U.S. economy continues to improve on a
national level, with unemployment at 9 percent and the economy adding
roughly 240,000 jobs last month. Here in Vermont, the jobs picture is
even brighter, with unemployment far below the national average at just
5.4 percent.
With unemployment continuing to fall, many people
are now feeling more secure in their jobs. This combined with a continued
rise for the stock market has created a "wealth effect" - this means that
people feel better-off due to the increase in their investment and
retirement accounts.
When people feel more secure in their jobs and
wealthier, they tend to spend more. For example, in March consumer
spending inched up one-half percentage point. This slow return to
increased consumer spending is positive news for retailers.
Companies that make outdoor apparel
and other sporting-related merchandise seem to be cashing in on the
return of the post-recession consumer.
Most people are familiar with many of the brands
we associate with outdoor apparel and gear, including K2, North Face,
Patagonia and REI. However, you'll have trouble getting a stock quote for
any of these companies because none of them are publicly traded. Some
remain privately held companies, while others have been bought up by
holding companies that own multiple brands focused on selling to outdoor
markets.
For investors, this makes it a little more difficult to find potential opportunities for investment, since there are limited stand-alone sporting companies that are publicly listed on a stock exchange.
My search for compelling outdoor stocks began with
a focus on companies with a primary business in outdoor apparel or
equipment, including manufacturers and retailers. I was ultimately
looking for a high quality outdoor company with the potential for
financial growth that will reward shareholders in the years to
come.
Until very recently, I
had never heard of V.F. Corp VFC. The North
Carolina outdoor apparel company is largely unknown and unheard of among
consumers and investors alike. It's no longer a small cap, but its
dividend, still relatively small size (around $10 billion market cap),
and growth prospects make it very attractive. And if you're someone who
enjoys the outdoors, I would be willing to bet that you own something
made by this company.
V.F. Corp makes active apparel,
denim, and daypack products under 30 well-recognized brands including
Lee, JanSport, Nautica, The North Face, Vans, and Wrangler. The company
designs and manufactures products under these and other lifestyle brands
both in the U.S. and overseas.
Since being founded in 1899, V.F.
VFC has expanded and matured over the years. A
primary driver of the company's historic growth has been acquisitions of
leading brands, including Lee Jeans and many other brands the company
owns today.
Over the next five years, V.F Corp plans to grow
its sales by 10 percent annually, from $7.7 billion last year to over
$12.7 billion by 2015. Earnings per share are expected to increase at a
more rapid pace of 12 percent annually, according to management.
Moving forward, the company expects a large
portion of its growth to come from international sales, including
emerging market countries like Brazil, China, India, and Mexico. While
V.F. remains headquartered in the U.S., over 30 percent of its sales
today come from overseas.
For investors, international exposure is likely to
help fuel the growth in the company as the expansion the middle to upper
classes in the developing world grows. In addition to growth overseas,
V.F. plans to sell more products directly to consumers, largely through
its 780 existing and new storefronts, and online.
The future appears bright for V.F., and past
performance indicates that management is likely to deliver on its
promises to shareholders. Last year, sales rose seven percent and full
year adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased 25 percent.
These strong results led to positive cash from
operations of over $1 billion last year, and allowed the company to
increase its quarterly cash dividend. With the dividend currently at
$2.52 on an annual basis, the yield from this stock is a healthy 2.6
percent. Income investors should also note that since the company began
paying a dividend back in 1986, it has never reduced or eliminated its
dividend. Such performance over a 25-year period is enviable.
With shares of V. F. Corp VFC currently trading just under $100, this outdoor stock is
valued at 14-times 2011 earnings estimates. It appears that shares
are undervalued relative to the stock market as a whole. For investors,
there is likely upside to the stock as the management team continues to
execute on its growth plans.
Just recently S&P reiterated its Strong Buy
rating on V.F. shares, and increased its price target to $120 per share.
S&P believes that V.F. Corp VFC shares will
rise in 2011 due to strong financial performance and believes shares are
undervalued based on the current price-to-earnings ratio.
This spring, lovers of the outdoors might benefit from investing in shares of V.F., which could see its shares rise by 20 percent in the next year according to S&P. And for income investors, they'll find the added bonus of a healthy 2.6 percent cash dividend.
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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