Michael K. Farr, President and CEO of Farr, Miller & Washington, named his top ten picks for 2022, CNBC reports.
- "These are companies that I find especially attractive in light of their valuations or their potential to benefit from economic developments."
- Farr's top picks include Apple Inc AAPL, The Walt Disney Co DIS, and Visa Inc V.
- Apple is the world's most valuable company by market capitalization.
- The iPhone segment is still the most significant contributor to revenue and earnings, but Services is the fastest-growing and highest-margin business.
- He sees Apple gaining mass attraction in 2022 on releasing its first AR/VR device.
- Looking further, he sees double-digit EPS growth through mid-to-high-single-digit revenue growth combined with a steady to increasing margin and share repurchases as the company moves toward a cash neutral balance sheet position.
- He sees growth in the installed base continuing with increased penetration of "halo" products and services like the Watch, AirPods, music, TV+, Arcade, Fitness+, News+, and iCloud.
- Farr sees Disney subscriber growth improve over the next few quarters as it launches service into new markets and adds original content to the service.
- As for the legacy businesses, the theme parks have seen an uptick in recent months, and that should continue given the pent-up demand for travel and experiences.
- He expects demand to be the strongest for tentpole films, as seen by the release of "Spider-Man: No Way Home."
- Farr still sees a long runway for Visa's growth in electronic payments with business-to-business payments as an opportunity to expand its addressable market significantly.
- Farr considers the threat from "buy now, pay later" is overblown, as up to 80% of those using such services pay off their balance using a debit or credit card, resulting in Visa revenue being as much as or more significant than if the network had been used on the initial purchase.
- The balance sheet is solid, and Farr sees a recovery in personal travel over several years, and secular tailwinds from cash-to-card (and digital) should continue.
- Price Action: DIS shares traded higher by 1.63% at $155.30 on the last check Tuesday.
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