Is Tesla The New Ford? How To Trade The Reaction To Elon Musk Opening Giga Berlin

Tesla, Inc TSLA shot up over 8% on Tuesday, after Elon Musk cut the ribbon at Giga Berlin, the EV maker’s first manufacturing plant outside the U.S. and China.

On CNBC's "Squawk On The Street," Jim Cramer said he believes Tesla will lead the overall market higher and likened Tesla’s dominance in the EV market to that of Ford Motor Co F when it commanded the automobile market in the early 20th century.

Earlier on Tuesday, Jefferies analyst Mark Philippe Houchois, reduced the stock’s price target from $1,400 to $1,250. Although Houchois remains bullish on Tesla, macro and geopolitical events present risk, according to Jefferies. If Tesla’s stock is able to reach Jefferies’ revised target, it would represent an increase of over 26% from the current share price.

On Tesla’s current trajectory, having soared up 31% over the past six trading days, a drive toward a new all-time high of $1,250 isn’t impossible, but if the stock reaches the level, it won’t be without pitstops along the way.

See Also: A Snapshot Of Tesla's 'S3XY' Models

The Tesla Chart: On March 14 and March 15, Tesla printed a bullish double bottom pattern at the $956.04 level and on March 16, the stock reacted bullishly and has closed each trading day since that date at a higher price. Tesla hasn’t printed a higher low to confirm the uptrend, however, and will eventually need to retrace.

The pullback to print a higher low could come soon because on Tuesday, Tesla’s relative strength index (RSI) was measuring in at about 64%. When a stock’s RSI nears or reaches the 70% level, it becomes overbought, which can be a sell signal for technical traders.

The move higher on Tuesday was taking place on higher-than-average volume, which indicates a high level of traders and investor interest in the stock. By late afternoon, over 24 million Tesla shares had exchanged hands, compared to the 10-day average of 24.52 million.

Tesla is trading above the eight-day and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), with the eight-day EMA trending above the 21-day, both of which are bullish indicators. The stock is also trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, which is bullish.

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• Bulls want to see eventual consolidation to avoid the stock becoming overextended, which could provide a solid entry point for bullish traders not already in a position. There is resistance above at $1,045.02 and $1,075.02.
• Bears will want to watch for a volume climax if the stock continues to fly higher on Wednesday, because there is a lot of room for the stock to fall before it negates its possible uptrend. There is support below at $978.60 and $945.

Photo: Courtesy of tesla.com