No More Dividends For Enviva, Weak Operational Performance And Guidance Cut, Analyst Downgrades Stock

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  • Truist Securities analyst Jordan Levy downgraded Enviva Inc EVA to Sell from Buy at a reduced price target of $10 (vs. $40 earlier).
  • The analyst is bearish on the company's weak operational performance, guidance cut, and dividend discontinuation, announced in Q1 2023 results.
  • The company reported sales of $269 million in Q1, missing the consensus of $294 million. Eviva discontinued quarterly dividend payments and now expects volumes of 5 million to 5.5 million MT (vs 5.5 million to 6.0 million MT) and net loss of $(186) million-$(136) million (vs. $(48) million-$(18) million earlier) in 2023. 
  • The analys believes that EVA's transition to a C-corp from an MLP early last year is proving more expensive than expected. Also, sluggishness in capital markets and high inflation is weighing on the margins, per the analyst. 
  • Levy reduced the estimate for 2023 adjusted EBITDA to $187 million (from $312 million) vs. consensus of $311 million and below the company's guidance of $200 million-$250 million.
  • The analyst also cut 2024 and 2025 adjusted EBITDA expectations by 33% and 28%, respectively. 
  • Price Action: EVA shares are trading higher by 23.7% at $8.67 on last check Friday.
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