MasterBrand Upgraded To Buy: Analyst Anticipates EBITDA Growth And Strong Housing Market Impact

  • Loop Capitals Markets analysts Garik Shmois and Jeffrey Stevenson upgraded MasterBrand Inc MBC to Buy from Hold at an increased price target of $13 from $9
  • The analysts are upbeat about the company on strong Q1 beat and increased 2023 guidance. 
  • Yesterday, the company reported Q1 2023 revenues of $676.7 million, beating the consensus of $629 million and adjusted EPS of $0.28, exceeding the consensus of $0.12.
  • MBC raised the midpoint of the 2023 adjusted EBITDA outlook by $10 million to $315 million to $345 million, with expected margins of 11.5-12.5%. The company expects net sales to decline in mid-teens Y/Y (vs Loop Capital's expectations of low to mid-teens).
  • The analysts expect the EBITDA margin to increase on favorable price/cost and improved execution of strategic initiatives. They project a solid new housing market to curb the impact of incremental weakness in retail. 
  • The analysts raised expectations for Q2 2023 EBITDA to $90 million (+$6 million) and 2023 EBITDA to $335 million (+$20 million). They project an EBITDA margin of 12% and sales of $2.79 billion for 2023. 
  • Price Action: MBC shares are trading higher by 15.5% at $9.98 on the last check Wednesday.
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