Sabre's $200M Cost Reduction Will Help Bridge The Gap To '25 Guidance, Says Analyst

  • Oppenheimer analyst Jed Kelly reiterated a Perform rating on the shares of Sabre Corporation SABR.
  • The analyst has updated the 2025 EBITDA estimate to $781 million from $749 million after the company beat Q1 consensus EBITDA by 12%.
  • Management is implementing headcount reductions, and cost realignment that will equate to $100 million in savings in '23 and $200 million on annualized basis, noted the analyst.
  • Despite the EBITDA beat and expense reductions, there was no change to '23E EBITDA guidance of $300 million-$320 million.
  • While management is new, SABR's operational history of not meeting medium-term profitability targets has made the analyst cautious.
  • The analyst believes recent global travel agency wins and an ongoing cloud migration are better positioning SABR to scale long-term travel technology trends.
  • The analyst maintains Perform on the shares until better visibility is gained around the medium-term free cash flow trajectory.
  • Price Action: SABR shares are trading lower by 6.3% at $3.18 on the last check Friday.
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