Goldman Sachs Sees AutoZone's Softer Domestic Comp As Dampener, Raises Other Concerns Too

Zinger Key Points
  • Goldman Sachs analyst rates AutoZone as a Buy with a target price of $3,000.
  • Analyst notes concerns on domestic comps and outlines downside risks, focusing on DIFM growth, DIY trends, EBIT margins, and competition.

Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane's rating on AutoZone Inc AZO stands at Buy with a price target of $3,000.

Today, the company reported Q1 FY24 sales growth of 5.1% Y/Y to $4.19 billion, marginally missing the analyst consensus of $4.198 billion. EPS of $32.55 beat the consensus of $31.57.

AZO's EPS figure came above GS estimate of $32.17. Domestic same store sales increased 1.2%, below the GS estimate of 2.3% and consensus of 2.6%.

On the conference call, McShane will be looking for commentary regarding quarter-to-date trends (mainly in DIFM), the health of the DIY consumer, details on inventory

availability, the state of the supply chain, margin expectations and, same-SKU inflation expectations.

The analyst notes several downside risks, including a slowdown in DIFM growth, worse-than-expected DIY trends, lower-than-expected EBIT margins, and increased competition.

The analyst estimates revenue and EPS of $18.874 billion and $146.13 for FY24, $19.483 billion and $150.65 for FY25 and $20.484 billion and $160.73 for FY26, respectively.

Price Action: AZO shares are trading higher by 0.27% at $2,671.22 on the last check Tuesday.

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