Trading Plan for July 9, 2010

Current Long Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): QQQQ (Hedge)

Current Short Positions (stop-losses in parentheses): ESV (42.84), MR (33.39), SPY (109.07), NUS (27.59)

BIAS: Neutral

Economic Reports Due Out (Times are EST): Wholesale Trade (10am)

My Observations and What to Expect:

  • Futures are currently flat - no clear bias at this point.
  • No significant economic reports due out today either, could make for a quiet session, especially with investors focusing their attention on earnings coming out next week, starting with Alcoa (AA) on Monday.
  • The rally we have seen over the past three sessions is on pace to become overextended fairly quickly, having rallied 60 points on the S&P already.
  • Can't see more than 20-30 points of upside left, before we see the resumption of the downward trend.
  • Volume continues to weaken in a near-horrific manner. Rally seems to be more about shorts covering their positions rather than buyers really being enthusiastic about this market.
  • An Intraday reversal to the downside would be huge for the bears, and would likely make any  hopes of a big rally D.O.A.

Actions I Will Be Taking:

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