Struggling Signals: Comcast's Death Cross, The Quandary Of Cable

Zinger Key Points
  • Comcast stock is down 4.8% YTD and the stock just triggered a Death Cross, validating investor pessimism.
  • The technical signal indicates a challenging period for the company, necessitating a cautious approach for investors.

Comcast Corp CMCSA stock just triggered a Death Cross. Despite a 15% gain over the past year, Comcast faces headwinds in 2024, with the stock down 4.8% year-to-date.

The Death Cross, a widely recognized bearish technical signal, raises concerns among investors and traders about the stock’s future performance.

In Comcast’s case, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) (yellow line in chart below) has recently dipped below the 200-day SMA (blue line in chart below), signaling potential challenges ahead and hinting at a bearish phase for the stock.

The fourth quarter earnings beat delivered by Comcast on Jan. 25 boosted the stock briefly, after which the stock again retreated back to being range-bound between $41 and $43.

Comcast stock’s underperformance compared to the S&P 500 Communications services sector, as represented by the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF XLC suggests investor reservations about its future.

Also Read: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock Is Up Over 5% – What’s Going On?

Fundamental Challenges At Comcast

Comcast is facing slow wireless subscriber growth failing to compensate for cable losses, resulting in stagnant revenue. This challenge is exacerbated by the company’s high debt, as increased spending may affect capital returns to shareholders.

The company is also grappling with a confluence of other challenges that may be contributing to the Death Cross.

The trend of cord-cutting in the cable industry poses a substantial obstacle to its traditional cable and broadcasting segments, with the increasing popularity of streaming services affecting core revenue streams. The company is also contending with intense competition in both the cable and media industries, where new entrants and disruptive technologies are exerting pressure on market share and profitability.

Also Read: Comparative Study: Comcast And Industry Competitors In Media Industry

Comcast Analysts Are Divided

Analysts who reviewed the stock post-fourth-quarter print, appear divided in their outlook for the stock.

  • On Jan. 26, Wells Fargo maintained Equal-Weight rating on the stock raising its price target from $45 to $50.
  • On Jan. 30, Citigroup maintained Buy on Comcast stock while raising its price target from $51 to $53.
  • More recently, on Feb. 15, Redburn Atlantic downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral and reduced its price target from $50 to $44.

Consensus analyst rating on Comcast stock stands at a Buy currently with a price target of $49.64 a share.

Comcast’s recent Death Cross signals a challenging period for the company, necessitating a cautious approach for investors.

CMCSA Price Action: Comcast stock was trading up 1.47% at $42.36 at the time of publication Friday.

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