Peter Brandt Suggests Bitcoin Bull Run May Have Peaked: '...Already Reached A Price Consistent'

The bull market for bitcoin BTC/USD might have hit its peak, as suggested by Peter Brandt, the CEO of Factor LLC and a seasoned chart analyst.

What Happened: Brandt, who had earlier forecasted a bullish cycle for BTC extending to September 2025 with potential highs of $200,000, has now revised his prediction, CoinDesk reported on Monday. His latest forecast is based on the “exponential decay” theory, a statistical concept that explains the process of reducing an amount by a consistent percentage rate over a period.

“If the statistical constant of the 80% decay holds true, the [record] high in bitcoin of $73,835 of March 14, 2024, has already reached a price consistent with the historical Exponential Decay,” Brandt stated.

Brandt had accurately predicted the 2018 collapse of bitcoin to under $4,000. He noted that each bull cycle has been 80% less powerful than its predecessor in terms of price multiple gained.

See Also: Is The ‘Memecoin Supercycle’ Over? Mad Crypto Alpha With Ivan

However, Brandt also acknowledged that the “Pre/Post Halving” cycle construct suggests that the current bull trend could reach a top in the $140,000 to $160,000 range sometime in late summer/early fall 2025. This thesis remains the primary driver of his Bitcoin ownership status.

Why It Matters: Brandt’s prediction comes amid a forecast of a potential Bitcoin dip in the coming days by crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe. However, van de Poppe remains optimistic about a quick recovery for the leading cryptocurrency.

Meanwhile, a report by broker Bernstein suggests that the recent slowdown in bitcoin ETF inflows is a temporary pause, not a negative trend. The report notes that the world's largest cryptocurrency has been range-bound in terms of price, with no clear momentum on either side following the halving.

Despite the recent slowdown in spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETFs) flows, Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Mahika Sapra maintain a $150,000 price target for Bitcoin by the end of 2025.

Price Action: Bitcoin was trading 3.96% lower at $61,274.03 at the time of writing, as per Benzinga Pro.

Read Next: Bitcoin Faces Potential Downturn As Analysts Eye ‘Second Danger Zone’ — But What Happened To ‘Memecoin Supercycle?’

Image via Shutterstock


Engineered by Benzinga Neuro, Edited by Pooja Rajkumari


The GPT-4-based Benzinga Neuro content generation system exploits the extensive Benzinga Ecosystem, including native data, APIs, and more to create comprehensive and timely stories for you. Learn more.


Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
Comments
Loading...
Posted In:
Benzinga simplifies the market for smarter investing

Trade confidently with insights and alerts from analyst ratings, free reports and breaking news that affects the stocks you care about.

Join Now: Free!