Crocs, Inc. Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

Have you been paying attention to shares of Crocs CROX? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 20.4% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $147.36 in the previous session. Crocs has gained 55.6% since the start of the year compared to the -1.8% move for the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the -16.8% return for the Zacks Textile - Apparel industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on May 7, 2024, Crocs reported EPS of $3.02 versus consensus estimate of $2.25 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 0.2%.

For the current fiscal year, Crocs is expected to post earnings of $12.66 per share on $4.13 billion in revenues. This represents a 5.24% change in EPS on a 4.35% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $13.74 per share on $4.36 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 8.53% and 5.44%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Crocs may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Crocs has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 11.5X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 11.6X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 11X versus its peer group's average of 7.5X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.64. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Crocs currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Crocs passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Crocs shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.

How Does CROX Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of CROX have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Superior Group of Companies, Inc. SGC. SGC has a Zacks Rank of # 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of C.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Superior Group of Companies, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 242.86%, and for the current fiscal year, SGC is expected to post earnings of $0.75 per share on revenue of $568.19 million.

Shares of Superior Group of Companies, Inc. have gained 18.7% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 26.39X and a P/CF of 14.41X.

The Textile - Apparel industry is in the top 26% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for CROX and SGC, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.

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