EXCLUSIVE: Ethereum ETFs Could Drive 'Mass Adoption' — What Investors Need To Know Now

Zinger Key Points
  • Approval of an ETH ETF could pave the way for broader acceptance and recognition of other cryptocurrencies, diversifying the market.
  • Regulatory challenges from the SEC under Chairperson Gary Gensler pose special risks for Ethereum's approval as a spot ETF.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) recent request for revisions to Ether ETF applications has sparked a wave of optimism in the cryptocurrency industry.

Benzinga talked to experts, who believe a potential green light for these ETFs could attract new investments and accelerate the mainstream adoption of Ethereum and other alternative cryptocurrencies.

What Are Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum ETFs would function similarly to any other ETF you might find on the stock market.

It would be a basket of investments that tracks the price of ether ETH/USD, the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum blockchain.

Investors could buy shares in the ETFs just like they would buy shares of a company, gaining exposure to Ethereum’s price movement without needing to directly own or manage the cryptocurrency itself.

Why Are Ethereum ETFs Important?

The approval of Ethereum ETFs would be a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency industry. Here’s why it’s generating so much buzz:

  • Increased Accessibility: ETFs offer a familiar and regulated investment vehicle for mainstream investors who might be hesitant to dive into the complexities of cryptocurrency exchanges. This could lead to a significant influx of new capital into the Ethereum ecosystem, potentially driving up its price.
  • Enhanced Legitimacy: A green light from the SEC would be a major vote of confidence for Ethereum, signifying its acceptance as a legitimate asset class. This could attract institutional investors who have so far remained on the sidelines due to regulatory uncertainty.
  • Potential Price Impact: Analysts at Standard Chartered predict a surge in ether prices to $8,000 by the end of 2024 if an ETF is approved. The influx of new capital, combined with the increased legitimacy, could fuel a significant price rally.

John Patrick Mullin, Founder and CEO of MANTRA, emphasized the relevance of ETH ETFs, noting that they represent a substantial opportunity for institutional investment.

“Given the innovative nature of Ethereum’s tech, including smart contracts and a wide range of dApps, ETH ETFs might attract significant interest from investors who are keen on more diverse crypto exposures,” Mullin stated.

The approval of ETH ETFs could potentially lead to massive inflows of capital.

Mullin believes that ETH ETFs could see similar or even greater inflows compared to Bitcoin ETFs due to Ethereum’s versatile technology.

On the other hand, Andrey Stoychev, Head of Prime Brokerage at Nexo, estimated that Ether-based ETFs might see volumes roughly 30% lower than spot Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting Bitcoin’s pioneering status.

Could It Lead To Other Altcoin ETFs?

Approved ETH ETFs could set a precedent for other altcoin ETFs. Cryptocurrency traders have even suggested a Dogecoin DOGE/USD ETF is not out of the question.

Mullin suggests that once regulatory bodies are comfortable with Ethereum, it could lead to broader acceptance and recognition of other cryptocurrencies.

“This could diversify the market further and provide more investment opportunities,” he said.

Stoychev echoed this sentiment, stating that the success of an ETH ETF could streamline the approval process for future altcoin ETFs, provided they meet the SEC’s requirements.

What Does This Mean For The Price Of Ethereum?

The approval of ETH ETFs is expected to have a significant impact on Ethereum’s market dynamics.

Mullin believes that approval would initiate a virtuous cycle of stable liquidity and trust-building, potentially leading to more ETFs and increased adoption.

“Mass Adoption. It's happening due to ETF approvals,” he affirmed.

In contrast, a denial could lead to a temporary drop in ETH’s price due to negative sentiment, although the long-term impact might be less severe if the broader crypto market remains positive.

Stoychev noted that if approved, ETH could experience a price increase similar to Bitcoin’s 50% rise post-ETF approval.

“ETH could potentially rise to above $4,000,” he suggested, while also warning of a temporary lull and a potential drop back to $3,000 if the ETF is not approved.

Also Read: Top House Democrats Will Not Rally Party Against Crypto Bill Despite Opposition

What Do Experts Think About Ethereum ETFs?

Roy Hui, Co-Founder and CEO of LightLink, highlighted Ethereum’s expansive ecosystem and its role as a pivotal infrastructure for the global digital landscape.

“The ETH ETF stands out amid other crypto ETFs due to Ethereum’s expansive ecosystem, robust economy and leading market capitalization,” Hui said.

Alvin Kan, COO of Bitget Wallet, pointed out that the approval of Ethereum spot ETFs could lead to increased investment, funds, and liquidity from the U.S. stock market, supporting ETH’s price.

“This may mimic the impact of Bitcoin, where external liquidity significantly increases its price, leading to a new historical high in a relatively short period of time,” Kan explained.

What Happens Next?

The approval process for Ethereum ETFs faces several challenges, especially from the SEC.

Under Chairman Gary Gensler, the SEC has shown a preference for cryptocurrencies that adhere to Bitcoin BTC/USD like standards, posing special challenges for Ethereum due to its security and securitization risks.

Kan also noted that the approval of an Ethereum ETF could set new standards for other cryptocurrencies and provide them with examples of applying for their own ETFs.

Conversely, a rejection could imply that only cryptocurrencies following Bitcoin-like standards would be considered for ETFs, excluding those based on proof of stake (PoS).

The potential approval of ETH ETFs represents a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency market, with significant implications for Ethereum and other digital assets.

As the industry waits with bated breath, the decision could either propel Ethereum into a new era of institutional adoption or prompt a temporary market correction.

The future of digital assets and regulatory trends will be further explored at Benzinga’s Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

Industry leaders, investors, and policymakers will gather to discuss the evolving role of digital assets in the global financial landscape, offering valuable insights into the impact of regulatory decisions like the potential approval of Fidelity’s spot Ether ETF.

Read Next: Bitcoin Fear And Greed Index Turns Bullish: 10x Research Highlights Key Trade Strategy

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