Saia Upgraded To Buy: Analyst Sees Long-Term Opportunity Amid Industry Tailwinds

Zinger Key Points
  • Stifel analyst upgraded Saia, Inc. to Buy from Hold, reducing the price target to $475 from $526.
  • Despite execution risks, the analyst sees Saia as a well-run carrier with strong market share growth prospects and improving pricing power.

Stifel analyst J. Bruce Chan upgraded Saia, Inc. SAIA from Hold to Buy and cut the price target from $526 to $475.

The analyst says that SAIA has continued to lose steam following a soft 1Q24 reporting season and a modest earnings miss.

While the analyst acknowledges execution risk in Saia’s mid-term growth and network expansion plans, the company is poised to increase its market share in a secularly growing LTL industry with improving pricing power. 

With still-healthy industry-specific tailwinds over the medium term, the analyst likes the fundamental opportunity at Saia, especially with continued share growth opportunity within the growing pie.

Consequently, the analyst revised EPS estimates to $16.06 (from $15.45) in FY24 and $19.50 (from $19.00) in FY25.

The analyst notes this is an attractive entry point for a high-growth, high-quality carrier at the bottom of the cycle, all else equal.

Investors can gain exposure to the stock via ProShares Trust ProShares Supply Chain Logistics ETF SUPL and Alger Mid Cap 40 ETF FRTY.

Price Action: SAIA shares are up 3.42% at $393.26 at the last check Friday.

Photo via Shutterstock

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