Exxon Mobil's Stock Slides: Oil Up, Gas Down Makes For Mixed Q2 Earnings Outlook

Zinger Key Points
  • Exxon Mobil expects Q2 upstream earnings to rise by $0.3B-$0.7B due to oil price changes.
  • Exxon Mobil projects gas price changes to negatively impact earnings by $(0.7)B-$(0.3)B.

Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM shares are trading lower today. The oil giant anticipates changes in oil prices to boost second-quarter upstream earnings Q/Q by $0.3 billion to $0.7 billion.

Conversely, changes in gas prices will negatively impact its second-quarter upstream results by between $(0.7) billion and $(0.3) billion

On the other hand, Exxon Mobil projects that variations in industry margins will impact energy products earnings by $(1.5) billion-$(1.1) billion, specialty products earnings by $(0.1) billion-$0.1 billion and chemical products earnings by $0.0 billion-$0.2 billion.

Also Read: Exxon Ex-Exec’s New Firm To Partner On Guyana’s Next Gas Project: Report

In May, Exxon Mobil closed its acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources Company.

The company expects a 500 – 550 koebd production boost, reflecting two months of Pioneer production averaged for 91 days for the second quarter. This includes Pioneer production, attributable to ExxonMobil results, of ~46 – 48 MOEB for the period May 3 to June 30, 2024. 

According to Benzinga Pro, analysts estimate Exxon Mobill to report second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.37 and revenues of $91.86 billion.

Investors can gain exposure to the stock via SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector XLE and IShares U.S. Energy ETF IYE.

XOM Stock Prediction 2024

Equity research analysts on and off Wall Street typically use earnings growth and fundamental research as a form of valuation and forecasting. But many in trading turn to technical analysis as a way to form predictive models for share price trajectory.

Some investors look to trends to help forecast where they believe a stock could trade at a certain point in the future. Looking at Exxon Mobil, an investor could make an assessment about a stock's long term prospects using a moving average and trend line. If they believe a stock will remain above the moving average, which many believe is a bullish signal, they can extrapolate that trend into the future using a trend line. For Exxon Mobil, the 200-day moving average sits at $109.22, according to Benzinga Pro, which is below the current price of $112. For more on charts and trend lines, see a description here.

Traders believe that when a stock is above its moving average, it is a generally bullish signal, and when it crosses below, it is a more negative signal. Investors could use trend lines to make an educated guess about where a stock could trade at a later date if conditions remain stable.

Price Action: XOM shares are down 1.16% at $112.05 on the last check Monday.

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Photo: Del Henderson Jr. via Shutterstock

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