Zinger Key Points
- Alex Krüger pins the financial crisis on macro factors, specifically the Fed not cutting rates.
- He calls for a focus on the upcoming U.S. job market data for insights into the health of the economy.
Macro trader Alex Krüger sees the current market drawdown primarily driven by macroeconomic factors, not crypto-specific issues.
What Happened: In a Monday post on X, Krüger suggested that the Federal Reserve’s slow response to Japan’s rate hike, rather than problems with the U.S. economy are to blame for the market crash.
Krüger believes that a financial crisis driven by leveraged Japanese speculators is a lesser evil than one caused by the U.S. entering a recession.
He emphasized the importance of U.S. jobs market data, with a particular focus on initial jobless claims and state-level employment data, which will be published on Thursday and Aug. 16, respectively. Krüger pointed out that these are data points markets do not pay attention to in normal conditions.
Price Action: In the past week, Bitcoin BTC/USD has dropped 23%, as the crypto market slid to under $2 trillion in market capitalization.
Why It Matters: Krüger’s analysis underscores the importance of understanding the broader macroeconomic factors at play. He highlighted the need for informed analysis and strategic decision-making, but stated that he does not expect a hard landing scenario for the economy.
The commentator responded, saying they expect the Federal Reserve to reverse its stance completely, cutting rates from the current 5.25% to 3.75% in December.
What’s Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga’s upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
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