10 ETFs Poised For Wild Swings Following Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia Corp. NVDA is set to report its highly anticipated earnings Wednesday, and the stakes couldn't be higher.

As the undisputed leader in the AI revolution, Nvidia’s results will be a critical indicator for the broader market, particularly for those invested in semiconductor and technology sectors.

This highly followed market event offers both risk and opportunity. For traders seeking to capitalize on Nvidia's earnings without the direct exposure to single-stock volatility, ETFs with substantial Nvidia holdings present an appealing alternative.

Read Also: Market Eyes $305B Shift In Nvidia’s Market Cap As Options Pricing Forecasts 9.8% Post-Earnings Move: ‘A Lot Of That Insurance Is FOMO’

Nvidia Earnings Expectations: A High Bar Set

Wall Street has set an ambitious target for Nvidia this quarter, with revenue expected to hit $28.74 billion — a staggering 17% increase from the previous quarter and an eye-popping 156% jump from the same quarter last year.

Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise to 65 cents, up from 56 cents in the prior quarter and 21 cents in the same period last year.

Goldman Sachs’ semiconductor analyst, Toshiya Hari, is bullish on Nvidia’s prospects, predicting the company will surpass these already lofty expectations.

“We believe customer demand across the large Cloud Service Providers and enterprises is strong, and Nvidia’s robust competitive position in AI/accelerated computing remains intact,” Hari stated in a note published this month.

The driving force behind this optimism? Data Center revenues and strong operating leverage. Hari highlights three key areas: robust demand for the H100 GPUs, the launch of volume shipments of the H200, and the ramp-up of Nvidia’s Ethernet-based networking product, Spectrum-X. These factors could fuel a significant earnings beat, potentially leading to upward revisions in EPS.

Shares of the AI tech giant are up 159% year to date, after surging by 239% in 2023.

Historical Volatility: A Look At Past Nvidia Earnings

Nvidia’s stock has a history of sharp rallies post-earnings, with an average one-day boost of 9% over the past eight quarters and 7.1% over the last four.

A Goldman Sachs analysis identified the VanEck Semiconductor ETF SMH as having the highest average post-earnings move (3.4%) following Nvidia's past eight earnings releases.

It was followed by the iShares Semiconductor ETF SOXX at 2.9% and the ARK Innovation ETF ARKK at 2.4%.

Top 10 ETFs With Nvidia Exposure

For traders looking to gain exposure to Nvidia's potential earnings-driven rally, here are 10 ETFs with the largest holdings in the stock:

ETF Name	Nvidia Weight %	YTD Performance (%)
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors USD	30.69%	136%
Strive U.S. Semiconductor ETF SHOC	29.54%	19.2%
Simplify Volt RoboCar Disruption VCAR	22.83%	12.7%
VanEck Semiconductor ETF	21.95%	41.3%
The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund XLK	21.29%	16.7%
Grizzle Growth ETF DARP	20.32%	13.9%
Franklin Focused Growth ETF FFOG	18.07%	26.4%
iShares Global Tech ETF (IXN)	17.55%	21.6%
iShares ESG Advanced MSCI USA ETF USXF	16.05%	22.4%
SoFi Select 500 ETF SFY	15.96%	20.5%

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