Chinese tech giants Alibaba Group Holding Ltd – ADR BABA, JD.Com Inc JD and Baidu Inc BIDU all gained early Friday, driven by stronger-than-expected GDP figures from China.
The upbeat economic data has invigorated market sentiment, pushing U.S.-listed Chinese stocks higher and contributing to a rally in China-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
Additionally, per a Bloomberg report early Friday, markets also found unexpected optimism in the People's Bank of China (PBOC). A speech from Governor Pan Gongsheng, along with the announcement of a support program for share buybacks, lifted market sentiment.
The National Bureau of Statistics expressed confidence that there is "large room" for further policy action this year, with a "very likely" chance of economic recovery, according to Bloomberg. The bureau also noted that the external environment is “increasingly complex and grim” and the economy's foundation for a rebound needs to be further solidified.
What Happened With GDP Data: China’s GDP expanded by 4.6% year-over-year in the third quarter, beating a Reuters poll forecast of 4.5%. Although the growth was marginally below the previous quarter's figure of 4.7%, it reassured investors that the world’s second-largest economy remains resilient despite recent challenges.
Alongside the GDP data, other indicators such as a 5.4% rise in industrial output and a 3.2% increase in retail sales further solidified optimism during Friday’s session.
U.S.-listed ETFs tracking Chinese companies saw a sharp rise on the news. The KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF KWEB, a fund heavily exposed to major Chinese tech firms, gained 4.5% early Friday. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF FXI and iShares MSCI China ETF MCHI also gained 4% each as investors looked to capitalize on the promising data.
Why This Matters For Alibaba: Alibaba, one of China's leading e-commerce platforms, is particularly sensitive to retail sales growth, making the better-than-expected retail data a boon for its stock. The company, which operates across multiple segments including online retail, cloud computing and digital media, stands to benefit from renewed consumer spending.
With retail sales up by 3.2% in September, Alibaba is poised to capitalize on increased consumer activity and potentially stronger demand during the upcoming holiday shopping season.
Why This Matters For JD.com: JD.com, another key player in the Chinese e-commerce space, also experienced a boost from the positive GDP data. The company, known for its robust logistics network and dominance in online retail, is similarly tied to retail sales figures.
The industrial output increase of 5.4% was particularly relevant for JD, as its business relies on a smooth and efficient supply chain to meet growing demand.
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Why This Matters For Baidu: Baidu, China's most popular search engine and AI company, also saw its shares jump as part of the broader rally in Chinese tech stocks. Baidu has been expanding its reach into artificial intelligence and autonomous driving, areas that could benefit from China’s overall economic growth.
As industrial activity rises, Baidu’s AI-driven enterprise services, cloud computing and autonomous driving ventures are expected to see increased demand. Moreover, improvements in consumer spending could boost Baidu's core advertising business, which is highly reliant on the health of the broader economy.
The Bigger Picture: China’s positive economic data arrives at a crucial time. Global markets have been increasingly concerned about the country's growth prospects amid a slowing property market and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
While concerns over declining house prices remain – with a sharper 5.8% drop year-over-year in September – the broader economy appears to be gaining strength. Investors interpret this data as a sign that China's targeted stimulus measures and government interventions may stabilize the economy.
With Beijing reportedly considering further fiscal measures, including an $850 billion special treasury bond to stimulate the economy and tackle local debt, the stage may be set for continued momentum in China's stock market.
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