CVS Health Q3 Earnings Preview: Can The Company Overcome Recent Challenges?

Zinger Key Points
  • CVS Health is preparing to report Q3 earnings after cutting its annual profit guidance and implementing leadership changes.
  • Investors are keen to see if these moves will improve performance amid ongoing challenges.

As CVS Health Corp CVS prepares to announce its third-quarter earnings Wednesday morning, investors are keenly aware of the challenges and adjustments the company has faced in recent months.

Following a mixed performance in its second-quarter results, which included a significant reduction in annual profit guidance, CVS's stock has experienced volatility, reflecting market concerns about its future prospects.

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What To Know: In the second quarter, CVS Health reported:

  • Revenues of $91.23 billion, falling short of the consensus estimate of $91.51 billion. T
  • Total revenues grew by 2.6% — fueled by the Health Care Benefits and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments.
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.83 also represented a decrease from $2.21 in the previous year, although it did surpass the consensus forecast of $1.73. The decline in EPS stems from operational pressures in the Health Care Benefits segment, exacerbated by unfavorable Medicare Advantage star ratings impacting the 2024 payment year.
  • Adjusted operating income reflected a more significant downturn, decreasing by 16.4% to $3.74 billion. This decline highlighted the ongoing challenges CVS is facing, particularly in managing costs and improving operational efficiency.
  • The company’s Health Services segment reported a troubling 8.8% decrease in revenues to $42.17 billion, largely due to an 18.3% drop in pharmacy claims processed. This downturn raises questions about CVS’s ability to compete in an increasingly digital landscape, where online pharmacy services are becoming more prevalent.

What Else: In response to these challenges, CVS announced immediate leadership changes, with CEO Karen Lynch taking direct control of the Health Care Benefits segment, while CFO Tom Cowhey will oversee daily operations alongside her. Such moves signal CVS’s commitment to reorienting its strategy in light of recent performance.

Guidance for the upcoming quarter and beyond has been notably conservative. CVS has revised its adjusted EPS forecast down to between $6.40 and $6.65, significantly lower than the previous estimate of at least $7.00 and below the consensus of $6.98.

Additionally, the company adjusted its full-year 2024 cash flow from operations guidance to approximately $9.0 billion, down from an earlier estimate of at least $10.5 billion. This revision reflects ongoing pressures in the Health Care Benefits segment, prompting concerns about future profitability.

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The Big Picture: For the full year, CVS forecasts revenues between $369 billion and $372 billion, slightly above the consensus of $368.876 billion, while the adjusted operating income is now expected to fall between $13.75 billion and $14.15 billion, a reduction from previous guidance of at least $14.75 billion.

Furthermore, the anticipated medical benefits ratio has been adjusted to a range of 90.6% to 90.8%, up from the earlier expectation of approximately 89.8%.

As CVS Health approaches its third-quarter earnings announcement, market analysts will be closely monitoring the company’s ability to navigate these challenges and deliver results that align with its revised guidance.

Investors will look for signs of improvement in the Health Services segment and any indications that leadership changes will positively impact operational performance moving forward.

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According to data from Benzinga Pro, CVS has a 52-week high of $83.25 and a 52-week low of $52.77.

Image: Shutterstock

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