Warren Buffett Claims To Not 'Time The Market,' But His Cash Horde Tells A Different Story

Zinger Key Points
  • Berkshire Hathaway's cash pile now stands at $325 billion, nearly 30% of the company's total assets.
  • CEO Warren Buffett could be anticipating lower future returns from the equities market at large.

For decades, famed value investor Warren Buffett has insisted that he does not try to “time the market.” But, his recent sales could serve as a warning sign for investors amid a period of protracted valuations.

What Happened: Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRK BRK has gradually wound down its largest positions over the last year.

Berkshire slashed its largest position in Apple Inc AAPL by over two-thirds since 2023. Buffett also sold much of his position in Bank of America Corp BAC since the summer. He also trimmed back nearly all of his position in Ulta Beauty Inc ULTA, an atypically short holding period for the investor who preaches investing for the long term.

The Omaha, Nebraska-based company’s cash horde now stands at an astounding $325 billion.

See Also: As MSTR’s Michael Saylor Says Warren Buffett Is ‘Destroying’ Berkshire Capital, Analyst Suggests ‘Overpriced…Hot Stock Market’ Could Be The Reason Oracle Of Omaha Is Sitting On $325B Cash

Why it Matters: Several market experts have struggled to comprehend Buffett’s thought process — is he bearish on the market at large? Reallocating his portfolio away from Apple and Bank of America to diversify? Or, as Buffett hinted at in May, anticipating a future change to U.S. tax laws?

An article from Bloomberg columnist Nir Kaissar could fuel the first theory. A post on X relayed a graph from the article showing Buffett’s cash pile conspicuously rising ahead of financial crises.

The company’s cash allocation ticked upwards ahead of two large market crashes in 2000 and 2008.

As companies in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY sustain a period of high valuations, Buffett could simply be heeding his advice, “to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful,” allocating his portfolio away from what he deems riskier investments

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