Despite A Modest $50 Monthly Increase In 2025, Americans Worry Social Security May Not Survive Past 2034

Social Security beneficiaries will see a 2.5% Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) for the monthly benefit checks in 2025. In January, the average rises about $50 with the COLA. For many of the 72.5 million Americans who rely on Social Security, this modest increase may provide slight relief against inflation. However, many are concerned about the program's long-term sustainability and whether it will last through their retirements. 

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the combined Old Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) and Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Funds could be depleted by 2034. If that happens, then Social Security could only pay about 75% of scheduled benefits, leaving many Americans with cuts to their monthly checks. 

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The Peter G. Peterson Foundation, an organization dedicated to creating public awareness of fiscal challenges in America, pointed out that one of the key drivers behind the depleting Social Security funds is the ratio of an aging population compared to the number of people entering the workforce. Fewer people are entering the workforce than those exiting it and taking Social Security benefits. 

By 2031, over 77 million Americans will receive Social Security benefits – a 45% increase from 2010 – while the number of workers contributing to Social Security will only grow by 20% in that same period. 

Many Americans are skeptical about Social Security’s future. NTV News asked its viewers to share their thoughts on it and many expressed that they don't have much hope for it. 

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An investment advisor representative, Tristan Crook, told NTV News, "I think at the end of the day they need to make some kind of change because the projections right now don’t look fantastic." 

Crook added that the program could hurt younger people, depending on changes that may occur, saying that the age at which one can start taking Social Security will get pushed further back or younger people will have to start contributing more. 

Other responses to NTV News echoed Crook's sentiments. Some expressed concerns that the program might not exist by the time younger generations retire and many agreed that the current situation simply isn't working. 

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Less than a decade before the CBO's projected Social Security funds depletion date, experts agree that legislative action is necessary to ensure the program's solvency. Potential solutions include raising the retirement age, reducing benefits for high earners, or increasing the payroll tax income cap. The Peter G. Peterson Foundation notes that if implemented thoughtfully, these measures could extend the program's solvency by at least 30 years.

While these proposals could strengthen Social Security's financial footing, they require political consensus – a challenge that has historically delayed meaningful reform. President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to protect Social Security, but it remains unclear what specific actions his administration will take.

For now, beneficiaries can expect a slight payment increase starting January 2025. However, the uncertainty surrounding Social Security's future overshadows this development. Without timely reforms, millions of Americans could face reduced benefits or additional financial strain in retirement.

As the 2034 depletion date approaches, the debate over preserving Social Security intensifies, with Americans from all generations closely watching lawmakers for solutions.

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