Investing in the stock market is often seen as a way to secure a brighter financial future. However, for one Reddit user, DubiouslyCurious, it turned into a cautionary tale of what can happen when timing, leverage and luck don't align. Sharing their story on the popular subreddit r/wallstreetbets, this investor laid bare the heartbreaking consequences of betting big on NVIDIA – one of the most successful companies of the last decade.
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The Dream
Back in 2018, DubiouslyCurious recognized something many others overlooked: NVIDIA wasn't just a gaming company. It was positioning itself as the backbone of artificial intelligence. The company's GPUs powered AI breakthroughs worldwide and its CUDA platform became essential for developers. According to them, NVIDIA was “like iOS for AI” – a tool others couldn't easily replicate.
Believing in NVIDIA's future, they invested everything they had –£100,000 from their savings and inheritance – using 3x leverage to increase their returns.
For a while, the gamble seemed to pay off. As NVIDIA's stock climbed, they watched their investment grow to life-changing levels. "For the first time in my life, I saw a path to financial security," they wrote. But then came the COVID-19 pandemic, a black swan event that sent the stock market into free fall.
While NVIDIA rebounded quickly, DubiouslyCurious couldn't wait. Their leveraged position meant losses piled up rapidly, forcing them to sell everything to survive. “I sold when I had to take out the pittance remaining just to buy food. Ironically, of course, as soon as I sell it jumped back up. But by that point the damage had been done.”
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Why Timing and Leverage Matter
Here's where the painful irony sets in – DubiouslyCurious was right about NVIDIA. The company did exactly what they predicted, becoming a cornerstone of the AI revolution and one of the most valuable companies in the world. They claimed if they hadn’t been driven out of their position, their original £100,000 would now be worth, as they said, “6.6 million” if they had just purchased and kept NVIDIA stock without using any leverage.
Instead, leveraging their investment magnified the impact of NVIDIA's temporary downturn during COVID-19. When NVIDIA's stock temporarily dropped during COVID-19, they faced a margin call and lost it all. As one commenter said, “This graph is a great example of why holding leveraged positions long-term is a bad idea.”
The Fallout
Today, DubiouslyCurious says they work for a large company but earn less than half the average wage in their area. Despite being overqualified, their reward is a £20 gift card for employee of the month.
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But the hardest part isn't just losing the money. Even though they were right about NVIDIA's potential, they still lost everything. "I was completely right about NVIDIA, yet I still lost everything. That's a special kind of torment that's hard for most people to understand.”
Adding to their challenges, they now live “paycheck to paycheck” with ME/CFS, a chronic illness that limits their ability to work and rebuild their financial future.
Lessons for Investors
The story of DubiouslyCurious has resonated with thousands online, sparking debates about risk, leverage and the unpredictability of the market. Here are some key takeaways:
- Avoid using leverage unless you fully understand the risks: Gains and losses are magnified by leverage. Enhancing your returns is alluring, but if the market moves against you, it could leave you with nothing.
- Don't bet your life savings: No matter how confident you are in investing, never risk money you can't afford to lose.
- Patience and diversification are key: Even if you believe strongly in a stock, it's better to diversify and hold for the long term without taking on unnecessary risks.
- Timing matters – but it's hard to perfect: The market can be volatile and even the most well-researched predictions can go awry if the timing isn't right.
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