- Financials slid as Trump tariffs raised recession fears; JPMorgan sees 60% U.S. recession risk
- Shares of companies within the broader financials sector are trading lower as markets reacted to Trump's sweeping tariff announcement.
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Hedge fund manager Dan Loeb had five major financial stocks in the Third Point LLC portfolio, each on the downtrend.
What Happened: Last week, shares of companies within the broader financials sector traded lower as markets reacted to President Trump‘s sweeping tariff announcement.
Here’s a look at some of Loeb’s financial stocks year-to-date:
- Apollo Global Management, Inc. APO: Shares dropped 33.54% compared to Fidelity Disruptive Finance ETF FDFF decline of 17.85% YTD. As of the fourth quarter of 2024, the investor lowered the stake to 400,000 shares from 950,000 shares as of the third quarter of 2024.
- Brookfield Corporation BN: The stock dipped 20.59% vs its peer BlackRock, Inc. BLK that plummetted 19.92% YTD. Loeb raised the stake to 4,990,000 shares as of the fourth quarter of 2024 from 4,725,000 as of the third quarter of 2024.
- Capital One Financial Corporation COF: Shares were down 14.28% compared to Davis Fundamental ETF Trust Davis Select Financial ETF DFNL, which saw a decrease of 9.68% YTD. Third Point acquired 925,000 shares in the fourth quarter of 2024.
- LPL Financial Holdings Inc. LPLA: The company’s shares tumbled 13.58% versus Gabelli ETFs Trust Gabelli Financial Services Opportunities ETF GABF decrease of 15.99% YTD. The investor increased their stake to 655,000 shares in the fourth quarter of 2024 from 485,000 shares as of the third quarter of 2024.
- Discover Financial Services DFS: The stock dived 14.30% compared to iShares Focused Value Factor ETFFOVL decline of 12.16% YTD. Loeb acquired 640,000 shares in the company in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Why It Matters: U.S. banks and economists are now on recession watch.
JPMorgan analyst Maia G. Crook raised the U.S. recession risk to 60% from 40% last month, citing tariff hikes as the biggest U.S. tax increase in decades.
Last week, Trump argued it was necessary to address the U.S.'s “large and persistent trade deficit,” adding: “Treat us like we treat you.”
The Trump administration proposed steep new tariffs on several countries, including 54% on China, 46% on Vietnam, 36% on Thailand, and 20% on the EU, while maintaining current rates for USMCA-compliant goods from Mexico and Canada.
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