Bitcoin Breaks $80,000, But 'Artificial Rally' Could End In A Bear Market In September, Analyst Warns

Bitcoin's BTC/USD breakout above $80,000 caught traders by surprise, but not everyone is convinced the move is sustainable.

What Happened: In a detailed post on X on Thursday, prominent analyst Capo of Crypto warned that despite short-term upside, the macro picture points to serious trouble ahead.

Capo said he’s recently focused more on short-term trading, but the broader context now demands attention.

He argues that the 2020 money printing spree only delayed an inevitable collapse.

Since then, quantitative tightening and high interest rates have drained liquidity.

While markets pushed to new highs, Capo says the reversal is looming.

With rates now declining, he suggests a recession is imminent, possibly triggering a global financial reset akin to the Great Depression.

He tied this to a broader shift toward central bank digital currencies, a digital economy, and the ISO 20022 financial messaging standard — all unfolding between late 2025 and early 2026.

Also Read: Bitcoin’s Sell-Off During Tariff Trade War: Is It No Safe Haven After All?

What's Next: Capo provided his forecasts for four different scenarios:

• Very Short-Term (next few days): Relief bounce in play; Bitcoin may reach $92,000–$98,0000, alts could rally 50%–100%.
• Short-Term (next few weeks): After this bounce, expect potential capitulation—likely triggered by geopolitical or macro shock.
• Medium-Term (into September): Overall bullish, potential altseason (though smaller than past cycles). black swans would only enhance long-term accumulation setups.
• Mid/Long-Term (late 2025–2026): Market faces risk of severe downturn. Bitcoin's recent strength is seen as artificially driven (ETFs, stablecoin minting), while altcoins lag. A September 2025 pivot could mirror the 2021 cycle's peak and mark the start of a major bear phase.

He added that Bitcoin’s true behavior during a full-scale recession or depression is still untested, but such a scenario could bring extreme volatility and possibly the worst phase of the current cycle.

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