Citigroup is out with a research report this morning, where it reiterates its Sell/High Risk rating on Walgreen Co. WAG; it has a $33.00 price target on the stock.
The Citi analysts cited the company's recent shareholder meeting, where WAG was optimistic as it moves through F2011 for three reasons:
1) “The CCR stores continue to gain traction
2) There is a significant opportunity to increase basket size with fresh food offerings
3) The expansion of the 90-day at retail Rx program.”
The Citi analysts believe that a weak consumer and competition from other value-oriented formats will continue to have a negative impact on FE sales.
Additionally, the generic wave will likely have limited impact until F2013, making
Rx SSS difficult past the 2010/11 flu season.
As for valuation, the analysts remarked, “In our forward P/E analysis, we apply a target multiple of approximately 12x to our calendarized 2011 EPS estimate, below WAG's historical 10-year mean P/E of 25x.”
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