Piper Jaffray, which downgraded shares of Chubb Corporation CB to Neutral from Overweight, said that it believes exposure to US winter storms and the cyclone Yasi create a dimension of uncertainty in the short-run.
“At the same time, we view the company's over-capitalization and inability to put capital to work (beyond share repurchase), as headwinds in the effort to outperform,” Piper Jaffray writes. “While a healthy dose of share repurchase likely buoys the shares, we believe the broader economy and property-casualty market provide a cap on any multiple expansion occurring further out.
“As a result, we revised our target multiple lower from 1.2x to 1.0x forward book value, yielding a price target of $62. For investors taking profits and/or looking to invest in the large cap property-casualty space, we recommend and reiterate our Overweight rating on shares of ACE Ltd.”
Chubb Corporation closed Monday at $58.86.
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