Trump Vs. Harris: Vice President Nearly Doubles Lead In Less Than A Month, Strongly Outperforms Biden's Poll Numbers

Zinger Key Points
  • Most previous Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted when President Joe Biden was in the fray, showed him neck-on-neck with Trump.
  • A separate Ipsos found that Harris ahead of Trump by a 42%-40% margin in the seven swing states,

Donald Trump faced further setbacks as new poll results released Thursday showed the former president fell further behind his Democratic rival and Vice President Kamala Harris.

Swelling Lead: The tally is now 42%-37% in favor of Harris, an Ipsos poll found, according to Reuters. The vice president was leading by a more modest three percentage points in the July 22-23 Reuters/Ipsos survey, with the equation then at 37% to 34%. The August survey showed independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. receiving 4% support, down from 10% in July.

The most recent poll was conducted independently from Reuters and 2,045 U.S. adults were contacted for the purpose on Aug. 2-7. The margin of error was around three percentage points.

A separate Ipsos poll found Harris ahead of Trump by a 42%-40% margin in the seven swing states, namely Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The poll did not break out results for individual states, Reuters said.

For Harris, this is a positive, given in most previous Reuters/Ipsos polls conducted when President Joe Biden was in the fray, he tied with Trump.

The August poll found that most voters associated Trump with the terms “patriot” as well as “weird.” The report noted that Trump is referred to as a patriot in most of his campaign speeches, while the Harris campaign uses “weird” to refer to Trump.

See Also: Vance Vs. Walz: Comparing Net Worth Of Trump And Kamala Harris’ VP Picks

Harris was nominated by Biden after he quit the race on July 21.

In a separate report, Reuters said its analysis of responses from seven nationwide Reuter/Ipsos polls showed 70% of Black polled in July chose Harris over Trump, up from the 59% support Biden got in May and June polls. On the other hand, Trump found more backing from whites, with 50% picking him in July polls, up from 46% in May and June. Harris had the support of 38% of white voters in July, compared to 36% in May and June.

The Same Tale: Harris beat Trump by a 52% to 47% margin among registered voters in a new Marquette Law School Poll national survey. Among likely voters, Harris, with a 53%-47% margin, increased her lead to six points. The results included those who initially did not pick Harris or Trump but were asked whom they would vote for if they had to choose.

The May Marquette survey showed Trump and Biden deadlocked at 50% each, underlining the momentum Harris’ entry has brought to the Democratic camp,

When independent candidate Kennedy, Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent candidate Cornel West were included on the ballot, Harris received 47% and Trump 41% among registered voters. Among likely voters, Harris received the support of 50% of the respondents and Trump 42%.

The survey was conducted July 24-Aug. 1, interviewing 879 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-4.1 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 683 with a margin of error of +/-4.7 percentage points.

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