Zinger Key Points
- A weekly poll from Morning Consult asks voters who they would pick in hypothetical 2024 election matchups.
- Biden and Trump are the favorites to win their party's nominations, setting up a potential rematch of the 2020 election.
The 2024 presidential election could end up being a rematch of the 2020 election race, which saw voters choose between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. In the 2020 election, Biden defeated Trump.
A weekly poll showed a potential matchup between the two past presidents is even among voters ahead of the 2024 election.
What Happened: President Biden has been the favorite to win the Democratic Party nomination in the 2024 election. Biden's lead in the Democratic party could continue to grow with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. recently announcing he would no longer run as a Democratic candidate, instead choosing the third-party or independent route.
While this could be good news for Bidden in the Democratic primary race, Kennedy's third-party decision could take potential votes away from both Biden and Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
If Biden wins the Democratic nomination, he will likely face off against Trump in the general election. Trump has been dominant over Republican candidates in recent poll and has a 49-point lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
The weekly Morning Consult poll asked registered voters who they would select in hypothetical elections of Trump vs. Biden and Biden vs. DeSantis.
In this week's poll, Biden received 43% of the vote and Trump received 43% of the vote, returning to a tie among the two most likely 2024 election candidates. Ten percent said they would vote for someone else and 5% said they were unsure who they would select.
This marked an improvement for Trump, who was behind Biden by two points in the last poll.
In a matchup between Biden and DeSantis, Biden won with a 43% to 38% advantage. Twelve percent said they would vote for someone else and 7% said they were unsure who they would vote for.
After several weeks with a three percentage point advantage over DeSantis, Biden's lead grew to five points in the latest poll.
Related Link: Biden Worries About Polling In Swing States, Ready To Spend More On Advertising To Defeat Trump
Why It's Important: Over the past five weeks, Biden has been tied with Trump three times and ahead twice.
This marks a stark contrast from the current president typically having a lead of one to two percentage points in most weeks since polling began in December. Seven weeks ago, Biden had a three-point lead over Trump in one of his biggest advantages in recent months, before seeing momentum shift towards Trump in the weekly poll.
The poll comes after Trump traveled back to the courtroom last week for his civil fraud trial in New York.
Biden appeared on "60 Minutes" two Sundays ago with this being the first poll conducted since the appearance that aired on Paramount Global PARAPARAA-owned CBS.
During the interview, Biden spoke in support of Israel and Ukraine during their current international conflicts, including voicing support for financial backing.
The latest poll could show Biden lost support from voters from his appearance on the news program and his recent visit to Israel.
While Biden lost support against Trump in the latest poll, he saw his lead over DeSantis jump. The five-point lead over DeSantis comes as the Florida governeor has fallen well behind Trump in most GOP polls, hitting 13% support compared to 62% for Trump in the latest Morning Consult poll of Republican voters.
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Trade confidently with insights and alerts from analyst ratings, free reports and breaking news that affects the stocks you care about.
