Harris Vs. Trump: No Democratic National Convention Bump For Vice President, RFK Jr. Suspension Fails To Move Needle For Either Candidate

Vice President Kamala Harris ties her record-high lead over Donald Trump, but fails to gain ground from the Democratic National Convention in a weekly election poll ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

What Happened: Harris continues to see leads in head-to-head polls and in the betting odds for the 2024 election in her matchup against former President Trump.

A new Morning Consult could be a bit of a letdown for Harris and the Democratic Party with the lead remaining the same post Democratic National Convention.

The new poll shows the following results from voters, with the results from the Aug. 20 poll in parentheses.

• Kamala Harris: 48% (48%)
• Donald Trump: 44% (44%)
• Someone Else: 4% (4%)
• Don't Know: 4% (4%)

The poll found that 92% of Democrats backed Harris as their top pick, up two percentage points from last week's poll. The poll also found 89% of Republicans backed Trump as their top pick, in-line with last week's poll.

Independent voters selected the following as their head-to-head preference, with the results from the Aug. 20 poll in parentheses:

• Kamala Harris: 42% (42%)
• Donald Trump: 38% (38%)
• Someone Else: 9% (11%)
• Don't Know: 10% (9%)

Along with leading all voters and Independent voters, Harris also has the edge in several other demographics including male voters at 47% to 46%, female voters at 49% to 42%, 18-44 aged voters at 50% to 41%, 45+ aged voters at 47% to 46% and 18-34 aged voters at 49% to 41%.

Harris' lead in the 18-34 demographic was down one percentage point from a record high 10 points from last week, but remains elevated from where the Democratic Party was weeks ago. President Joe Biden trailed Trump by nine points in the 18-34 voter demographic before exiting the race.

Did You Know?

• Congress Is Making Huge Investments. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Why It's Important: Harris continues to rank ahead of Trump in the weekly head-to-head poll, maintaining a lead each week since the head-to-head update in the poll took place with Biden stepping down in the 2024 election race.

Harris' four-point lead ties her weekly high but didn't grow from last week when some may have expected the Democratic National Convention, which featured the support of several ex-presidents and key political leaders for Harris' campaign.

While the Democratic National Convention didn't boost Harris' overall lead, it did return some positives in the new election poll.

Net buzz remained strong for Harris, with 47% of voters saying they heard something positive about the vice president and 32% saying they heard something negative about Harris. This marked the fifth straight week of a double-digit net buzz favorable rating for Harris and her highest net buzz ranking since November 2022.

Trump's net buzz for the week was negative 20 points, which remains underwater but improving since the start of the month.

Another positive for the Harris campaign at the DNC may have been growing knowledge and love for Tim Walz, her running mate. Walz has a favorable rating of 42% in the latest poll, compared to 39% before the DNC. Walz's unfavorable rating remained the same at 36%.

The poll, conducted Aug. 23 through Aug. 25 also came after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump for president. This action may have led to experts seeing Trump get a boost, but the weekly poll does not reflect that occurring.

The four-point lead for Harris over Trump comes after Morning Consult recently released a swing state voter poll that found the vice president leading 48% to 47% overall in seven key states. The vice president was leading Trump in four of the seven swing states (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin), tied in one (Georgia) and trailing in two (North Carolina, Pennsylvania).

Check This Out:

• Lawmakers Made Huge Investments This Year. Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool

Photo: Shutterstock