President Joe Biden and his predecessor, Donald Trump, were deadlocked in a new nationwide survey that probed registered voters about their choice of candidate for the 2024 election.
Face-Off: In the survey, 44% of respondents chose Biden, while an equal percentage opted for Trump. Eight percent expressed their preference for another candidate, and 4% remained undecided.
Among likely voters, Biden held a slight lead, with 47% supporting him compared to 44% for Trump.
The survey was conducted by FAU Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab and Mainstreet Research between April 26-29 and the margin of error is plus, or minus 3%.
Among demographics, women voters sided more with Biden (48%), while more men (47%) preferred Trump.
Biden garnered stronger support from older middle-age groups compared to younger middle-age groups, and from Black voters (67%). On the other hand, Trump received more support from younger middle-aged groups and non-college-educated white voters.
Regarding party allegiance, Biden and Trump both command similar levels of support. However, Independents leaned more toward Trump (44%) than Biden (37%).
"As voters weigh their options, age and personality factors emerge as pivotal considerations. Although concerns over Biden’s age loom large among some former supporters, critiques of Trump’s language and leadership style drive others away," the pollster said.
"For those rejecting Trump, personality factors like his language and leadership style loom large, along with legal issues stemming from the Stormy Daniels case. Presidential character remains a major fault line," said Kevin Wagner, co-director of FAU’s PolCom Lab and professor of political science.
3-Way Race: Robert Kennedy Jr.'s inclusion on the ballot is likely to hurt Trump more than Biden, the survey found. Among all voters, 40% backed Biden, 38% Trump, and 13% Kennedy. Three percent preferred another candidate and 6% were undecided.
In the subset of likely voters, Biden's support increases to 44%, Trump's edges up by a point to 39% but Kennedy's support shrinks to 11%. Those preferring another candidate were at 2% and 3% said they were undecided.
Evenly-Split Party Support: When all voters were probed as to which party they thought would be reelected, an equal proportion of 40% sided with the Republicans and Democrats. Thirteen percent said they were undecided and 6% said they preferred independents.
For a question on which party's candidate they would vote for in their district, 43% sided with Democrats and 40% backed Republicans.
Among all voters, 49% said they either strongly opposed or somewhat opposed how Biden handled the conflict in the Middle East between Israel and Iran.
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