Trump Vs. Harris: Vice President Wipes Away Part Of Biden's Post-Debate Deficit As Key Demographic Groups Throw In Their Weight

Recent polls exploring the matchup between Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris have confirmed growing momentum for the Democrats. New poll results released Tuesday show that Harris is slowly closing the gap with the former president.

The Match-up: Trump led Harris by a 48%-45% margin, while 7% did not know or were unsure, according to a nationwide survey conducted by The Harris Poll and HarrisX online from July 26-28, among 2,196 registered voters. The margin of error for the total sample was plus or minus 2.1 percentage points. Harris narrowed Trump’s lead to three points, compared to the seven-point lead he had versus President Joe Biden in June.

Party-wise breakup of support showed that Trump had more support among Republicans (92%) than what Harris commanded among the Democrats (87%). Independents broke in favor of Trump, with 45% backing Trump and 39% supporting the vice president.

When first choice and leaners were considered, ie when the respondents were explicitly asked to pick between Trump and Harris, the former’s lead increased by a point. Fifty-two percent backed Trump and 48% supported Harris.

In a three-way race with Robert Kennedy Jr. added to the ballot, Trump led Harris by three points but has seen his lead shrink from 7% in June when Biden was in the race.

See Also: Biden On Track To Break Trump’s Record, Says Peter Schiff, As US Debt Tops $35 Trillion And Counting

Demographic Break-up: Trump was increasingly favored by men (54%), while the singularity of women (48%) threw their support behind Trump. The former president had majority support (53%) among respondents with less than a high school degree and nearly majority support (49%) among voters with a high school degree to less than a four-year college degree.

Harris commanded more support among voters with a four-year college degree or more, with 48% of this demographic group favoring her as opposed to 45% who supported Trump.

Expectedly, Trump wielded the clout with white voters, beating Harris by a 54% to 39% margin. Harris found favor with all the other racial groups, namely Black & African-Americans, Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin, Asian origin and others. Specifically with Black & African Americans, she commanded 67% support, while Trump could also garner 25% support.

Voters in the urban areas aligned more with Harris (54%) than Trump (40%), while suburban and rural voters preferred the latter.

Firmness Of Choice: More Trump backers (51%) have made up their minds compared to a more modest 47% of Harris backers who are firm in their choice.

The poll also found that three in four voters have made up their mind about who they will vote for but two in five independents said they are still weighing their choices.

A majority of the voters (57%) said there should have been more competition to nominate a replacement for Biden, while the remainder said it was important to show unity and coalesce behind Harris.

If ultimately Harris were the Democratic nominee for president, 47% said she would win the Nov. 5 election as opposed to 53% who said she would lose. Although not very positive for the vice president, she has improved the Democrats’ standing from the 37% Biden polled versus Trump before he quit the race.

Candidates’ Forte: Harris had an upper hand in voter preference over temperament, protection of democracy, protection of the Constitution, having the right values, representing change, caring about people, and seeking bipartisanship as well as other personality traits such as trustworthiness and honesty.

On the other hand, Trump scores over on putting the country first, having the right priorities and policies, qualification for serving as president, getting things done and being a fighter and exciting.

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