Yesterday, the day that the 99 Cents Only Stores NDN agree to be taken private, competitor discount variety stores Dollar General DG and Dollar Tree DLTR reached new 52-week highs of $39.40 and $80.99 per share, respectively.
Dollar General boosted its sales forecast and its shares were purchased by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) in the second quarter. The company also launched an e-commerce site this summer. The Goodlettsville, Tenn.-based retailer has about 9,500 stores in 35 states offering such things as prepackaged foods, seasonal items and personal care items. Founded in 1939, Dollar General now has a market cap of $13.1 billion.
The price-to-earnings ratio is higher than the industry average, but so is its operating margin. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 16.5%. Twelve of 18 analysts consider it a Buy of Strong Buy; none rate it a Sell. The share price is almost 23% higher than six months ago. The stock has outperformed competitors Family Dollar FDO and Walmart WMT over that time.
Dollar Tree's board recently approved a plan to repurchase $1.5 billion of its common shares. Revenue is projected to grow more than 10% in the current quarter and nearly 12% for the full year. Chesapeake, Va.-based Dollar Tree operates more than 4,000 stores under various banners throughout the U.S. and in Canada. Its market cap is $9.6 billion. It was founded in 1986.
Earnings per share are anticipated to grow 17.3% over the next five years and the return on equity is 30.4%. Its operating margin is also higher than the industry average. Eleven of 19 analysts rate the stock a Buy or Strong Buy. The share price is more than 43% higher than six months ago. Over that time, the stock has also outperformed Dollar General and the 99 Cents Only Stores.
Action Items:
Bullish: Traders interested in exchange traded funds holding Dollar Tree might want to consider the following trades:
- iShares S&P MidCap 400 Growth Index IJK: up more than 11% in the past week
- iShares S&P MidCap 400 Index IJH: up more than 11% in the past week
- SPDR S&P MidCap 400 MDY: up more than 11% in the past week
- ProShares Short MidCap400 MYY: up more than 12% in the past quarter
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