Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Stock

Mattel

Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale customers and direct to retail consumers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2024, with the remainder stemming from international markets.

Barbie Mattel

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Mattel Inc. (NASDAQ: MAT) exceeded expectations with its 4Q sales, up 3% in constant currency. The company&#39;s 2025 guidance forecasts net sales growth of 2-3%, with higher-than-expected gross margin and EPS, despite tariff impacts.

Mattel Analyst Sees Hot Wheels Growth While Barbie Faces Mixed Outlook

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Mattel shares are trading higher on Wednesday following better-than-expected 2024 fiscal-year fourth-quarter earnings.

What&#39;s Going On With Mattel Shares Wednesday?

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DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser maintains Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $27 to $30.

DA Davidson Maintains Buy on Mattel, Raises Price Target to $30

J.P. Morgan analyst Christopher Horvers <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/analyst-ratings">reiterated a Neutral rating</a> on the shares of Mattel Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) and maintained the price forecast of $23.
The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/02/43483126/mattel-shares-climb-after-better-than-expected-q4-results-fy25-eps-guidance-above-estimates">2025 guidance from Mattel </a>exceeds Wall Street expectations for revenue and slightly raises bottom-line estimates, driven by a favorable industry outlook and potential market share gains, the analyst said.
The company is forecasting net sales growth of 2% to 3% (constant currency), a gross margin of around 50.9%, and earnings per share (EPS) between $1.66 and $1.72, compared to the Street's projections of a 3% sales growth, a 50.4% gross margin, and $1.59 EPS.
The forecast accounts for the impact of tariffs, related mitigation actions and increased investments in the self-publishing digital games sector.
Mattel remains optimistic about the toy industry, expecting a stable to slightly improved market in 2025, alongside a return to more typical patterns in the theatrical market. 
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43496469/aircraft-manufacturer-embraer-bags-7b-order-stocks-surge">Embraer Lands Record $7 Billion Flexjet Order</a>
The company anticipates strong market share growth, with continued success in its Hot Wheels and Challenger categories, an uptick in Barbie sales, growth in the Infant/Toddler/Preschool segment, and new entertainment product launches.
Despite a decline in point-of-sale (POS), the company's fourth-quarter sales surpassed expectations, increasing by 3% (constant currency), with gross billings also up by 3%. 
Looking ahead, management indicated a positive start to first-quarter POS but acknowledged that slightly elevated channel inventory at the start of the year may present a near-term challenge, though they do not anticipate this extending beyond first-quarter or leading to markdown risks. 
Overall, the company expects relatively flat sales year-over-year for first-quarter. Thus, the analyst is projecting a slight decline in first-quarter net sales of -0.6% (with Barbie down 7%, Hot Wheels up 2%, and Fisher-Price up 2%) and a 1.7% increase in FY25 net sales (Barbie down 2%, Hot Wheels up 4.5%, and Fisher-Price up 2%).
Overall, the company's sales performance exceeded expectations, showing significant upside in gross margin. The guidance for 2025 is favorable, even with the potential impact of tariffs, and the sales environment looks slightly improved, concluded the analyst.
Price Action: MAT shares are trading higher by 14.6% at $20.72 at last check Wednesday.
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Photo by 8th.creator on Shutterstock.

Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) shares are trading higher on Wednesday following better-than-expected 2024 fiscal-year <a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/43483126">fourth-quarter earnings</a>.
The Details: The company released fourth-quarter financial results after the market closed on Tuesday, including sales of $1.65 billion, beating analysts estimate of $1.63 billion and representing a 2% growth year-over-year. In addition, Mattel reported adjusted earnings per share of 35 cents, beating analysts estimate of 20 cents.
Furthermore, Mattel reported adjusted EBITDA of $249 million, a $15 million increase compared to the same period last year, and adjusted operating income of $161 million. The company reported an adjusted gross margin of 50.8%, an increase of 200 basis points year-over-year.
&#8220;We had a strong&nbsp;fourth quarter&nbsp;with both sales growth and margin expansion. We continued to strengthen our balance sheet, repurchased&nbsp;$400 million&nbsp;of shares in 2024, further improved our leverage ratio, and are tracking ahead of schedule to achieve our&nbsp;$200 million&nbsp;cost savings target by the end of 2026,&#8221; said Anthony DiSilvestro, CFO of Mattel.
Additionally, Mattel issued guidance for the 2025 fiscal-year. It sees earnings per share from $1.66 to $1.72, versus analysts estimate of $1.58 and revenue growth of 2% to 3%.
&#8220;Mattel&#8217;s 2025&nbsp;guidance&nbsp;includes our expectation to grow top and bottom line, increase investments in digital games, and repurchase&nbsp;$600 million&nbsp;of shares. We are well positioned to continue to create long-term shareholder value,&#8221;&nbsp;said DiSilvestro.
The company said in the earnings report that the guidance also includes the anticipated impact of U.S. tariffs on imports from China, Mexico and Canada. 
Analyst Changes: Following the earnings report, multiple analysts issued price target adjustments.
<ul>
<li>Jefferies analyst Kylie Cohu upgraded Mattel from a Hold rating to a Buy rating and raised the price target from&nbsp;$20&nbsp;to&nbsp;$28.</li>
<li>Morgan Stanley analyst Megan Alexander maintained an Equal-Weight rating on Mattel and raised the price target from $22 to $23.</li>
</ul>
Related Link: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/25/02/43504666/snap-stock-drops-following-q4-results-and-analyst-downgrade-whats-going-on">Snap Stock Drops Following Q4 Results And Analyst Downgrade: What&#8217;s Going On?</a>
MAT Price Action: At the time of publication, Mattel stock is trading 14.5% higher at $20.69, according to data from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Image: via Shutterstock

What's Going On With Mattel Shares Wednesday?

U.S. stocks were mostly lower, with the Nasdaq Composite falling around 100 points on Wednesday.
Shares of Electronic Arts Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EA#NASDAQ">EA</a>) rose sharply during Wednesday's session after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter EPS results. B of A Securities raised its price target on the stock <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43492624/electronic-arts-sees-strong-q3-earnings-boosted-by-ea-sports-fc-success-25-billion-shareholder-return-plan">from $130 to $132</a>.
Electronic Arts posted net bookings of $2.215 billion and GAAP earnings of $1.11 per share, beating estimates of $1.07 per share.
Electronic Arts shares jumped 5.4% to $127.83 on Wednesday.
Here are some other big stocks recording gains in today's session.
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<li>BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BBAI#NYSE">BBAI</a>) shares surged 33.99% to $6.58. BigBear.ai won Department of Defense contract to prototype near-peer adversary geopolitical risk analysis for Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office.</li>
<li>Criteo SA (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRTO#NASDAQ">CRTO</a>) shares jumped 20% to $46.06 following better-than-expected fourth-quarter reported financial results and an increase in its share buyback authorization program.</li>
<li>Mercury Systems Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRCY#NASDAQ">MRCY</a>) gained 19% to $49.68 after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly financial results.</li>
<li>Tilray Brands Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLRY#NASDAQ">TLRY</a>) gained 17% to $1.16.</li>
<li>SSR Mining Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SSRM#NASDAQ">SSRM</a>) gained 16.8% to $9.57 after RBC Capital upgraded the stock from Underperform to Sector Perform and raised its price target from $5.5 to $8.</li>
<li>Mattel Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) rose 12.7% to $20.37 following better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results. Jefferies upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy following the report.</li>
<li>Embraer SA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ERJ#NYSE">ERJ</a>) gained 11.6% to $44.48 after its executive jets subsidiary announced a purchase agreement with Flexjet in which it secured a $7 billion order.</li>
<li>Johnson Controls International PLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JCI#NYSE">JCI</a>) gained 11.2% to $85.97 after the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and FY25 outlook. They also appointed Joakim Weidemanis as next CEO.</li>
<li>Mueller Water Products Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MWA#NYSE">MWA</a>) gained 10.8% to $25.60 following better-than-expected quarterly reported financial results. Additionally, the company raised its FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance and issued FY25 revenue guidance above estimates.</li>
<li>Champion Homes Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SKY#NYSE">SKY</a>) gained 9.5% to $101.61 after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly financial results.</li>
<li>Tempus AI Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TEM#NASDAQ">TEM</a>) rose 8.7% to $67.21 after TD Cowen reinstated a Buy rating on the stock and announced a price target of $74.</li>
<li>Bloom Energy Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BE#NYSE">BE</a>) gained 8.2% to $25.02.</li>
<li>GSK plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GSK#NYSE">GSK</a>) gained 7.8% to $37.52 after the company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results.</li>
<li>Fiserv Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FI#NYSE">FI</a>) shares surged 7.1% to $229.37 following better-than-expected quarterly reported financial results.</li>
<li>Powell Industries Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/POWL#NASDAQ">POWL</a>) gained 5.8% to $246.82. Powell Industries raised its quarterly dividend to $0.2675 per share.</li>
<li>BioNTech SE – ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>) rose 5.7% to $123.76.</li>
<li>Toyota Motor Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TM#NYSE">TM</a>) gained 3.8% to $194.68 after the company reported a year-over-year increase in third-quarter financial results and issued FY25 guidance above estimates.</li>
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Morgan Stanley analyst Megan Alexander maintains Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $22 to $23.

Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Mattel, Raises Price Target to $23

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Mattel shares are trading higher following better-than-expected Q4 financial results. Jefferies upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy following the report.

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Jefferies analyst Kylie Cohu upgrades Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) from Hold to Buy and raises the price target from $20 to $28.

Upgrades

Jefferies Upgrades Mattel to Buy, Raises Price Target to $28

Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) reported its fourth-quarter financial results after Tuesday's closing bell. Here's a look at the key <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/02/b43478101/mattel-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-2024-financial-results">figures from the quarter.&nbsp;</a>
The Details: Mattel reported quarterly earnings of 35 cents per share, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of 20 cents. Quarterly revenue came in at $1.65 billion, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.63 billion and is an increase over sales of $1.62 billion from&nbsp;the same period last year.
Gross billings in the North America segment increased 1% as reported and in constant currency, due to growth in Vehicles (primarily Hot Wheels) and Action Figures, Building Sets, Games, and Other (primarily Action Figures), partly offset by declines in Infant, Toddler, and Preschool (primarily Baby Gear and Power Wheels) and Dolls (primarily Barbie).
Gross billings in the International segment increased by 3% as reported, or 6% in constant currency, due to growth in Vehicles (primarily Hot Wheels) and Infant, Toddler, and Preschool, partly offset by declines in Dolls (primarily Barbie).
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&#8220;2024 was a year of strong operational excellence for Mattel with topline growth in the fourth quarter. Our priorities for the year were to grow profitability, expand gross margin, and generate strong free cash flow and we achieved all three objectives, well ahead of expectations. As we progress through 2025, our 80th anniversary year, we look forward to growing both top and bottom line and continuing to successfully execute our multi-year strategy,&#8221; said Ynon Kreiz, chairman and CEO of Mattel.
Outlook: Mattel sees fiscal 2025 earnings in a range of $1.66 to $1.72 per share and revenue up 2% to 3%.&nbsp;
MAT Price Action: According to data from <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/?gspk=YWRhbWVja2VydDUzMzY&amp;gsxid=zBMR4PKmcgBw">Benzinga Pro</a>, Mattel shares are up 7.91% after-hours at $19.50 Tuesday.  
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Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

After-Hours Center

Mattel Shares Climb After Better-Than-Expected Q4 Results, FY25 EPS Guidance Above Estimates

Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) announced its Q4 earnings on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 04:05 PM.
Here's a breakdown of the earnings report.
<h3>Earnings</h3>
Mattel beat estimated earnings by 75.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.35 versus an estimate of $0.2.
Revenue was up $25.00 million from the same period last year.
<h3>Previous Earnings Records</h3>
The company beat on EPS by $0.19 in the last quarter, resulting in a 4.0% increase share price change the following day.
Here's a look at Mattel's past performance:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.95</td>
<td>0.17</td>
<td>-0.13</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.14</td>
<td>0.19</td>
<td>-0.05</td>
<td>0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Estimate</td>
<td>1.86B</td>
<td>1.10B</td>
<td>831.80M</td>
<td>1.66B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Actual</td>
<td>1.84B</td>
<td>1.08B</td>
<td>809.50M</td>
<td>1.62B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

New investors should note that it is sometimes not an earnings beat or miss that most affects the price of a stock, but the guidance (or forecast).
<h3>Guidance</h3>
Mattel management provided guidance for FY 2025, expecting earnings between $1.66 and $1.72 per share.
To track all earnings releases for Mattel <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/earnings">visit their earnings calendar here.</a> 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Earnings Summary: Mattel Q4

Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) released its Q4 earnings on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 04:05 PM.
Here's what's important from the earnings announcement.
<h3>Earnings</h3>
Mattel beat estimated earnings by 75.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.35 versus an estimate of $0.2.
Revenue was up $25.00 million from the same period last year.
<h3>Overview of Past Earnings</h3>
During the previous quarter, the company beat on EPS by $0.19, leading to a 4.0% increase share price change the next day.
Here's a look at Mattel's past performance:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.95</td>
<td>0.17</td>
<td>-0.13</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.14</td>
<td>0.19</td>
<td>-0.05</td>
<td>0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Estimate</td>
<td>1.86B</td>
<td>1.10B</td>
<td>831.80M</td>
<td>1.66B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Actual</td>
<td>1.84B</td>
<td>1.08B</td>
<td>809.50M</td>
<td>1.62B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

New investors should note that it is sometimes not an earnings beat or miss that most affects the price of a stock, but the guidance (or forecast).
<h3>Guidance</h3>
Mattel management provided guidance for FY 2025, expecting earnings between $1.66 and $1.72 per share.
To track all earnings releases for Mattel <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/earnings">visit their earnings calendar here.</a> 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Mattel Q4 Earnings Assessment

The earnings results for Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) for Q4 were made public on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 04:05 PM.
Here's a comprehensive overview of the announcement.
<h3>Earnings</h3>
Mattel beat estimated earnings by 75.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.35 versus an estimate of $0.2.
Revenue was up $25.00 million from the same period last year.
<h3>Historical Earnings Summary</h3>
During the previous quarter, the company beat on EPS by $0.19, leading to a 4.0% increase share price change the next day.
Here's a look at Mattel's past performance:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.95</td>
<td>0.17</td>
<td>-0.13</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.14</td>
<td>0.19</td>
<td>-0.05</td>
<td>0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Estimate</td>
<td>1.86B</td>
<td>1.10B</td>
<td>831.80M</td>
<td>1.66B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Actual</td>
<td>1.84B</td>
<td>1.08B</td>
<td>809.50M</td>
<td>1.62B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

New investors should note that it is sometimes not an earnings beat or miss that most affects the price of a stock, but the guidance (or forecast).
<h3>Guidance</h3>
Mattel management provided guidance for FY 2025, expecting earnings between $1.66 and $1.72 per share.
To track all earnings releases for Mattel <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/earnings">visit their earnings calendar here.</a> 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Earnings Breakdown: Mattel Q4

The Q4 earnings report for Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) was released on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 04:05 PM.
Here's what investors need to know about the latest announcement.
<h3>Earnings</h3>
Mattel beat estimated earnings by 75.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.35 versus an estimate of $0.2.
Revenue was up $25.00 million from the same period last year.
<h3>Performance in Previous Earnings</h3>
The company beat on EPS by $0.19 in the last quarter, resulting in a 4.0% increase share price change the following day.
Here's a look at Mattel's past performance:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.95</td>
<td>0.17</td>
<td>-0.13</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.14</td>
<td>0.19</td>
<td>-0.05</td>
<td>0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Estimate</td>
<td>1.86B</td>
<td>1.10B</td>
<td>831.80M</td>
<td>1.66B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Actual</td>
<td>1.84B</td>
<td>1.08B</td>
<td>809.50M</td>
<td>1.62B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

New investors should note that it is sometimes not an earnings beat or miss that most affects the price of a stock, but the guidance (or forecast).
<h3>Guidance</h3>
Mattel management provided guidance for FY 2025, expecting earnings between $1.66 and $1.72 per share.
To track all earnings releases for Mattel <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/earnings">visit their earnings calendar here.</a> 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Mattel Earnings Analysis: Q4 Recap

The earnings results for Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) for Q4 were made public on Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 04:05 PM.
Here's a comprehensive overview of the announcement.
<h3>Earnings</h3>
Mattel beat estimated earnings by 75.0%, reporting an EPS of $0.35 versus an estimate of $0.2.
Revenue was up $25.00 million from the same period last year.
<h3>Earnings History Overview</h3>
During the previous quarter, the company beat on EPS by $0.19, leading to a 4.0% increase share price change the next day.
Here's a look at Mattel's past performance:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.95</td>
<td>0.17</td>
<td>-0.13</td>
<td>0.32</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>1.14</td>
<td>0.19</td>
<td>-0.05</td>
<td>0.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Estimate</td>
<td>1.86B</td>
<td>1.10B</td>
<td>831.80M</td>
<td>1.66B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Revenue Actual</td>
<td>1.84B</td>
<td>1.08B</td>
<td>809.50M</td>
<td>1.62B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

To track all earnings releases for Mattel <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/MAT/earnings">visit their earnings calendar here.</a> 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Recap: Mattel Q4 Earnings

Mattel shares are trading higher following better-than-expected Q4 financial results.

2025 Guidance
Mattel&#39;s full year 2025 guidance is:
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">(in millions,
			except EPS and percentages)</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">FY2025 Guidance</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">FY2024 Actual</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td>&nbsp;</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Net Sales (Constant Currency)</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">+2% to 3%</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$5,380</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Adjusted Gross Margin</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Comparable</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">50.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Adjusted Operating Income</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$740 - $765</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$738</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Adjusted Tax Rate</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">23% - 24%</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">21%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Adjusted EPS</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$1.66 - $1.72</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$1.62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Free Cash Flow</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">Approx. $600</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">&nbsp;</td>
<td colspan="1" rowspan="1">$598</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Guidance includes the anticipated impact of new U.S. tariffs on China, Mexico and Canada imports announced on February 1st, and mitigating actions we plan to take, including leveraging the strength of our supply chain, and potential pricing.
A reconciliation of Mattel&#39;s non-GAAP financial measures on a forward-looking basis, including Net Sales on a constant currency basis, Adjusted Gross Margin, Adjusted Operating Income, Adjusted Tax Rate, Adjusted EPS, and Free Cash Flow is not available without unreasonable effort. Mattel is unable to predict with sufficient certainty items that would be excluded from the corresponding GAAP measures, including the effect of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, unusual gains and losses or charges, and severance and restructuring charges, due to the unpredictable nature of such items, which may have a significant impact on Mattel&#39;s GAAP measures.
We are operating in a macro-economic environment that may impact consumer demand. The guidance considers what the company is aware of today, but remains subject to market volatility, unexpected disruptions including additional regulatory actions impacting international trade such as tariffs, and other macroeconomic risks and uncertainties.

Guidance

Mattel Sees FY25 EPS $1.66-$1.72 Vs $1.58 Est.; Revenue +2% - 3%

Mattel (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.35 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.20 by 75 percent. This is a 20.69 percent increase over earnings of $0.29 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $1.65 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.63 billion by 1.15 percent. This is a 1.57 percent increase over sales of $1.62 billion the same period last year.

Mattel Q4 Adj EPS $0.35 Beats $0.20 Estimate, Sales $1.65B Beat $1.63B Estimate

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Earnings Scheduled For February 4, 2025

President Donald Trump's announced tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China could impact many sectors and see retailers and companies raising prices on consumers to offset<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/02/43423288/trumps-tariffs-are-here-heres-what-will-get-more-expensive-from-canada-china-and-mexico"> the higher prices.</a>
Here's a look at the sectors and stocks that could be hurt the most by Trump's tariffs and retaliatory efforts by the three countries back on the U.S.
What Happened: Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/02/43427091/as-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-americas-3-largest-trading-partners-this-macro-strategist-call">announced 25% tariffs </a>on imports from Canada and Mexico along with a 10% tariffs on items imported from China. Trump and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced Monday the U.S. tariffs on Mexico have been paused for one month. 
Canada fought back with retaliatory measures on U.S. imports.
Trump said he spoke with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and plans to speak to the leader again at 3 p.m. ET Monday.
The tariffs were met with anger in Canada where sports fans booed the playing of &#8220;The Star-Spangled Banner,&#8221; the U.S. national anthem, at NBA and NHL sporting events over the weekend, as reported by <a href="https://deadline.com/2025/02/u-s-national-anthem-booed-nhl-nba-games-canada-tariffs-1236276207/">Deadline</a>.
NBA and NHL games involving teams from both countries typically play national anthems ahead of games.
Goods and Sectors Impacted: Here's a look at the top imports from Canada, Mexico and China that will be impacted if the tariffs stick.
Beer and Spirits: One of the companies that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42220682/trump-tariffs-on-mexico-could-affect-beer-why-your-modelo-corona-could-cost-more-next-year">could be hit hardest</a> by the tariff news is Constellation Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STZ#NYSE">STZ</a>), an alcohol company that holds the exclusive U.S. license for several of the top imported beer brands in America. Constellation imports brands like Modelo, Corona and Pacifico from Mexico, where they are brewed by Grupo Modelo, which is a unit of Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BUD#NYSE">BUD</a>).
Modelo is the top imported beer in the U.S., with Corona ranking second. Heineken and Dos Equis XX, which are imported by Heineken USA, a unit of Heineken NV (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HEINY#OTC">HEINY</a>), ranked third and fourth on the list of top imported beers. Dos Equis is manufactured in Mexico and imported to the U.S.
Constellation stock is down around 40% since it was flagged as a company to see pressure from tariffs back in November.
The U.S. is also a large importer of tequila, a sector that could be hit hard by tariffs on Mexico.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/24/12/42536470/costco-warns-that-tariffs-raise-prices-trump-team-says-trade-policies-will-make-life-affordable">Costco Warns That Tariffs Raise Prices, Trump Team Says Trade Policies Will &#8216;Make Life Affordable&#8217;</a>
Automotive: Several automotive companies like Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>), General Motors Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) and Honda Motor Co Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HMC#NYSE">HMC</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/12/42688941/are-us-vehicles-under-30000-a-thing-of-the-past-trumps-mexico-tariff-plans-could-change-auto-market">have sub-$30,000 vehicles</a> that are partially or fully built in Mexico and Canada. Tariffs on these countries could quickly make these sub-$30,000 vehicles cost more for consumers and eliminate options in the popular starting price point.
Avocados: American imports over 80% of its avocados from Mexico, which could lead to higher prices ahead of Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 9, as <a href="https://nypost.com/2025/02/02/us-news/whats-going-to-get-hit-by-trumps-tariffs-avocados-modelo-and-iphones/">reported </a>by the New York Post. Stocks that could be impacted by higher avocado costs are Mission Produce Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVO#NASDAQ">AVO</a>), Calavo Growers, Inc. (NASDDAQ: CVGW) and Limoneira Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMNR#NASDAQ">LMNR</a>).
Fruits and Vegetables: Canada is the largest supplier of cherry tomatoes for the U.S., which could see higher produce costs for consumers and restaurants.
Smartphones: China is one of the largest exporters of smartphones to the U.S., accounting for an estimated 87% of production according to the report. The iPhone from Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) has 95% of production assembled in China as of 2023.
Toys: The Toy Association industry group estimates that 75% of all imported toys come from China, making the sector one area that could be significantly hit by higher tariffs. Hasbro Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAS#NASDAQ">HAS</a>) and Mattel Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAT#NASDAQ">MAT</a>) are two stocks that could see pressure with the tariffs impacting one of their key sectors. &nbsp;
Clothing: Imported clothes from e-commerce companies including Shein and PDD Holdings &#8211; ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PDD#NASDAQ">PDD</a>) brand Temu will see higher prices with the tariff on China. Canadian clothing companies Aritzia and Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) will also be impacted by the tariff news. 
The footwear portion of the clothing sector could see the biggest impact with the Footwear Distributors &amp; Retailers of America estimating that 99% of shoes sold in the U.S. are imported. Nike Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NKE#NYSE">NKE</a>) could be among the companies hit hardest by the tariff news.
Construction: The American Iron and Steel Institute estimates that 25% of American steel comes from Canada and 12% comes from Mexico, which means steel prices could go up. Canadian lumber is also a large export to the U.S., which makes up around 30% of all lumber the country uses. Other construction items like drywall, lime and gypsum come from Mexico, which will put more pressure on homebuilders. The tariffs could lead to home prices going up and putting further pressure on the sector.
Oil: The U.S. is a large importer<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42300450/trump-told-trudeau-canada-could-avoid-tariffs-by-becoming-51st-state-a-look-at-sectors-trade-war-could-impact"> of Canadian oil.</a> While oil will only see a 10% tariff compared to the 25% on other Canadian goods, the sector could likely see a large impact. Companies like Suncor Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SU#NYSE">SU</a>), Enbridge (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENB#NYSE">ENB</a>), Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNQ#NYSE">CNQ</a>) and TC Pipelines (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRP#NYSE">TRP</a>)&nbsp;could face significant impacts from the tariffs and a potential blow to the sector.
Transportation: Railway company Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CP#NYSE">CP</a>) and trucking companies Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ODFL#NASDAQ">ODFL</a>) and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KNX#NYSE">KNX</a>) could be impacted by the tariffs and negative impact on trade between the United States and Canada.
Retailers: Dollar stores and discount retailers like Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLTR#NASDAQ">DLTR</a>) could be<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42402629/trump-to-change-dollar-stores-for-good-dollar-tree-exec-says-prepared-to-act"> impacted by the tariffs.</a> Executives warned of the potential impact in late 2024 with the goal of offsetting the higher prices with new product sizes and negotiating lower costs with suppliers. The company also said it would consider stopping the sale of several items due to the planned tariffs.
Price Actions on Monday at publication: The iShares MSCI Canada Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWC#NYSE">EWC</a>) is down 1.46% to $40.62.
The iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWW#NYSE">EWW</a>) is up 2.12% to $50.02.
The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHI#NASDAQ">MCHI</a>) is down 0.29% to $48.27.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/02/43430259/miners-plead-for-collaboration-as-trade-wars-threaten-critical-mineral-supply-chains">Miners Plead For Collaboration As Trade Wars Threaten Critical Mineral Supply Chains</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Visuals6x via Shutterstock

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Citigourp Global Markets 2% Protected Notes Linked To The Djia

Why Beer, Tequila, Avocados, Cars, iPhone Prices Could Rise: Trump's Tariffs On Canada, Mexico, China To Hurt Several Sectors

Press Releases

Mattel Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results and Conference Call Date

Mattel and TOKYOPOP Announce Publishing Partnership for Original Hot Wheels and Barbie Manga-Style Graphic Novels

Mattel Announces Planned Retirement of Chief Financial Officer Anthony DiSilvestro

Hot Wheels Reveals All-New Product Line to Bring the Thrill of Formula 1® to Racing Fans at Home

Hot Wheels® and Ferrari Team Up for the First Time in 10 Years to Release a Full Range of Die-Cast Cars and Collectibles

Mattel Expands its Portfolio into Building Sets with New Brand, Mattel Brick Shop

Mattel Celebrates its 80th Anniversary with "80 Moments for 80 Years" Philanthropic Campaign

Mattel Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results

Barbie Partnering with Black in Fashion Council to Empower the Next Generation of Black Female Fashion Designers in Celebration of Black History Month

Hasbro Launches Imaginative PLAY-DOH Barbie Playsets in Licensing Collaboration with Mattel

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