Macro Week - Monday Market Update

Good Morning Everyone!

Big week of data: CPI tomorrow, FED rate decision Wednesday, retail sales, jobless claims, regional and national manufacturing, and industrial production Thursday and PMIs Friday. Buckle up!


Prices as of 4 pm EST, 12/9/22; % YTD


MARKET UPDATE

This week

  • Tuesday CPI

  • Wednesday FOMC meeting

  • Thursday Retail sales

  • Friday PMI

What do we expect from Powell?

  • Wednesday Fed Funds rate from 4% to 4.5%

  • 2023 4.5% to 5%, then on hold

Crude 71.80 +0.5%

  • Higher this morning as we got more China Covid rule changes over the weekend

  • Putin said that Russia has a production agreement with other OPEC+ members, so a drastic move to cut production is only a possibility

  • The short position for Brent and WTI hit an 11 month high

Microsoft MSFT

  • Buying 4% stake in London Stock Exchange Group

  • In exchange, Microsoft gets a 10-year partnership for cloud-computing services

  • Thomson Reuters (listed in Canada) getting US$ 1 billion in gross proceeds

Coupa Software COUP

  • Thoma Bravo and a minority investor buying COUP for $81 cash

  • 9.5 times next-12-months EV/sales

Weber WEBR

  • Being taken private by their largest shareholder, BDT Capital Partners

Brookfield Asset Management BAM

  • Officially completed separation of their asset manager

  • BN Brookfield Corp, asset management, insurance solutions, operating businesses, A3 Moody’s bond rating

  • BAM 25% interest in their asset management business

Earnings              

  • Coupa Software COUP


CRYPTO UPDATE

Uniswap “fee switch” vote this week

  • Fee switch goal = increase trading volume, liquidity, and sustainability

  • Would implement 10% fee

  • Additional fees accrued by Treasury, not distributed

  • Uniswap UNI/USD is largest DEX by fees

Neon Labs mainnet launch

  • First Ethereum ETH/USD Virtual Machine (EVM) for Solana

  • Goes live today

  • Will allow Ethereum apps to build on Solana SOL/USD

Investors taking record levels of crypto off exchanges

  • November: 91,363 Bitcoin pulled off exchanges

    • ~$1.5 billion

  • Largest Bitcoin BTC/USD ouflow on record

  • October: 75,294 Bitcoin withdrawn


MEME OF THE DAY

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