Zinger Key Points
- A new 2024 election poll shows a one point lead for Donald Trump over Joe Biden.
- Biden gained support from Independent voters, while Trump's support stayed the same.
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With less than six months until voting day, registered voters will soon head to the polls for an anticipated head-to-head rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election.
Election polls are showing a close race between the two candidates.
What Happened: Biden and Trump have been the frontrunners in the 2024 election for months and are the betting favorites in the November election.
The potential rematch has been viewed as a tight race for months, according to Morning Consult polls of nationally registered voters.
Here are the latest weekly findings from the new Morning Consult poll, with the results from the May 7 poll in parentheses.
- Joe Biden: 43% (43%)
- Donald Trump: 44% (44%)
- Someone Else: 8% (9%)
- Don't Know: 5% (5%)
Of Democratic voters polled, 86% had Biden as their top pick. That's in line with the previous poll. Of Republican voters polled, 89% had Trump as their top pick, down one percentage point from the previous poll.
Independent voters, who could decide the election, selected their 2024 picks as follows, with the May 7 results in parentheses:
- Joe Biden: 33% (32%)
- Doanld Trump: 37% (37%)
- Someone Else: 19% (20%)
- Don't Know: 11% (11%)
Why It's Important: Trump dominated the head-to-head poll against Biden in January and February. Over the past two months, Biden has narrowed the gap and on several occasions posted a lead over the last two months.
The new poll shows the same results for voters, but shows a slight decrease in the Republican voter support for Trump.
More importantly, the Independent vote shows a slight gain for Biden after he lost support in the previous poll.
Trump also leads in six of the seven swing states in a recent Morning Consult poll (Biden carried Michigan). Trump gained support in five of the states and could be adding to his lead in the key battleground states.
The latest 2024 election poll comes as Trump is in the middle of a criminal trial for charges of falsifying business records related to alleged hush money payments made to adult actress Stormy Daniels. The results of the trial could have a big impact on future election polls and net favorability ratings.
The poll showed a net buzz rating of -32 points for Trump and -6 for Biden. The net buzz rating tracks the percent of people who have heard something positive versus negative about a candidate.
Trump's net buzz rating has fallen by 13 points since Super Tuesday, while Biden's net buzz rating has fallen only three points since Super Tuesday.
According to the poll, the key issues for voters are the economy, national security, and health care. Immigration continues to rise in importance, with 64% of voters now considering it “very important” for the 2024 election, compared to 50% in November 2022.
Photo: Shutterstock and an image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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