U.S. stock futures are up early Monday morning, following a mixed week that saw rotation out of expensive tech stocks in favor of value, despite the third consecutive interest rate cut on Wednesday.
Investors on Monday will be eagerly awaiting the results of the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, alongside the speeches of Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran and New York Fed President John Williams, both scheduled early in the day, ahead of a slew of other economic data that is set to be released over the course of this week.
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.17% and the two-year bond was at 3.51%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 73.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged when it meets again on Jan. 28, 2026.
| Futures | Change (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.44% |
| S&P 500 | 0.41% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.38% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.71% |
Stocks In Focus
iRobot Corp
MindWalk Holdings
Katapult Holdings
Argenx SE
AMREP Corp
Cues From Last Session
Consumer staples, discretionary, and healthcare were in the green on Friday, while information technology, energy and industrials witnessed steep declines.
Insights From Analysts
According to The Kobeissi Letter, in a post on X, since 1929, “the S&P 500 has risen in 79% of Santa Claus Rally periods,” with average gains of 1.6%.
Often referred to as the “Santa Claus rally,” this covers the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days in January. The post further noted that “since 1950, the S&P 500 has posted positive results in 79% of these periods.”
It also says that “over the last 8 years, the index has declined during the Santa Claus window only once,” while concluding by saying that the S&P 500 could reach the 7,000 point mark by the end of this year.
Upcoming Economic Data
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Monday;
- The Empire State manufacturing survey for December will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Fed Governor Stephen Miran is also scheduled to speak later at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- At 10:00 a.m. ET, the National Association of Home Builders will release its home builder confidence index for December.
- This will be followed by remarks from New York Fed President John Williams at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Commodities, Gold, Crypto, And Global Equity Markets
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 0.31% to hover around $57.42 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar is up 1.10%, hovering around $4,346.35 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $4,381.6 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot is down 0.09%, trading at 97.940.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.90% higher at $89,848.10 per coin.
Asian markets were predominantly in the red on Monday, barring the benchmarks in Malaysia and Thailand. New Zealand’s NZX 50 closed up, while Australia’s ASX 200 remains down. Most European markets are higher in early trade.
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